PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

HosoTrader

0x5ad9619b9300cfcbfc25540b3a2c390ce233f29d

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$97.7k
Markets traded
7,297
Open portfolio
$325.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,297
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Asyut Petroleum be relegated from the 2026-27 Egypt Premier League? · No0.7150.390$15.60−$13.00
Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? · Yes0.6000.340$13.60−$10.40
Will Abu Qir SC be relegated from the 2026-27 Egypt Premier League? · No0.7800.610$12.20−$3.40
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.8000.595$11.90−$4.10
Will Trump say "BMW" in October? · No0.5000.395$11.85−$3.15
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by October 31? · No0.7200.585$11.70−$2.70
Will Joey Slye finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.9200.895$11.63−$0.33
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? · No0.6830.571$11.41−$2.25
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20.5B by October 31? · No0.6300.555$11.10−$1.50
Will Lyon finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? · Yes0.6800.545$10.90−$2.70
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? · No0.7700.540$10.80−$4.60
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? · Yes0.6200.495$9.90−$2.50
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.6000.245$9.78−$14.17
Will Federico Staksrud reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.9000.486$9.72−$8.28
Will Rashee Rice finish as a top-12 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.8900.480$9.60−$8.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:42Will Rhamondre Stevenson be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.04$0.80
10-01 05:24Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?SELL0.56$11.20
10-01 04:52Will Dawson Knox finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.01$0.20
10-01 04:38Will Rachaad White be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.06$1.20
10-01 03:50Will C.J. Stroud finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.03$0.60
10-01 03:37Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?SELL0.095$1.90
10-01 03:08Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian by October 31?SELL0.1$2.00
10-01 02:42Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?SELL0.24$4.32
10-01 02:20Will Ladd McConkey finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.03$0.38
10-01 01:16Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.36$18.00
10-01 01:09Will Randy Bullock finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.02$0.40
10-01 00:54Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?SELL0.31$6.20
09-30 23:55Will Puka Nacua finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.9$18.00
09-30 23:45Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $160B by October 31?SELL0.04$0.80
09-30 22:23Will Jonathan Taylor be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.02$0.40