0x79439dabe03a26f630c4c2ab1293b5fd457129b4
0x79439dabe03a26f630c4c2ab1293b5fd457129b4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $86.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,376
- Open portfolio
- $88.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,376
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.675 | $20.25 | −$2.85 |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98? · No | 0.720 | 0.630 | $18.90 | −$2.70 |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.285 | $15.68 | −$23.93 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.800 | 0.635 | $12.70 | −$3.30 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.360 | $10.80 | −$3.00 |
| Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.335 | $6.70 | −$3.70 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.034 | $1.94 | −$10.03 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $65B by October 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.040 | $0.80 | −$1.60 |
| Will Patrick Mahomes be the #2 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.009 | $0.50 | −$6.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.17at 0.556Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$34.44at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$29.65at 0.430LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner
- +$21.20at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
- +$20.76at 0.400Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 07:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.295 | $5.90 |
| 10-06 05:50 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 05:09 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 10-06 02:52 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 10-06 00:07 | Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.24 |
| 10-06 00:07 | Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.85 |
| 10-05 19:35 | Will a player from the SEC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.44 |
| 10-05 19:33 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 06:23 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 10-05 04:48 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.50 and $8.00 on November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-05 00:37 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.80 |
| 10-05 00:36 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.04 |
| 10-05 00:36 | Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.01 |
| 10-04 20:13 | Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $46.48 |
| 10-04 19:54 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |