0x25e728bdd2af1c26b15680d2cf524b106b0545cd
0x25e728bdd2af1c26b15680d2cf524b106b0545cd
- Realised P&L
- $-28.26
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $154.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.20at 0.185Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?
- +$14.00at 0.360Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale?
- +$12.50at 0.340Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
- +$6.81at 0.770Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
- +$6.80at 0.180Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:37 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-02 13:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-02 04:50 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.55 |
| 10-02 04:50 | Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-02 04:48 | Will England take a reserved host slot at UEFA Euro 2028? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 04:48 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-02 04:48 | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | SELL | 0.219 | $1.09 |
| 10-02 04:48 | Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-02 04:48 | Will Tucker Kraft finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.58 | $10.31 |
| 10-02 04:48 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by October 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $16.40 |
| 10-02 04:48 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.859 | $17.18 |
| 10-02 04:48 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | SELL | 0.223548616 | $12.60 |
| 10-02 00:21 | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.23 |
| 10-02 00:21 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.0145 | $0.29 |
| 10-02 00:21 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.791 | $3.96 |