maomao228
0xfe4689892521a3b7cdbb25d45c69512936646133
- Realised P&L
- $-11.2k
- Volume
- $684.5k
- Markets traded
- 7,906
- Open portfolio
- $781.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,906
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.03at 0.190Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$169.56at 0.049Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
- +$156.03at 0.110Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$155.43at 0.090Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
- +$141.91at 0.140Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:52 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 10-10 13:51 | Will Cincinnati (CFB) have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.22 |
| 10-10 13:51 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.7789999977 | $15.60 |
| 10-10 13:51 | Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.06 |
| 10-10 13:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.859 | $17.18 |
| 10-10 13:50 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.8 | $15.98 |
| 10-10 13:50 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-10 13:50 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.9749999749 | $19.39 |
| 10-10 13:50 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 10-10 13:49 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.8614839386 | $17.22 |
| 10-10 13:49 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.883 | $17.66 |
| 10-10 13:49 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 10-10 13:49 | Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 10-10 13:48 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 10-10 13:47 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.901 | $9.01 |