PolyBot

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Traders

maomao228

0xfe4689892521a3b7cdbb25d45c69512936646133

Realised P&L
$-11.2k
Volume
$684.5k
Markets traded
7,906
Open portfolio
$781.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,906
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chase Meidroth win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? · No0.7700.490$19.60−$11.20
Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31? · No0.5200.410$16.40−$4.40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 35%-40%? · No0.8380.775$15.50−$1.26
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028? · Yes0.6600.515$14.65−$4.12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.7800.705$14.10−$1.50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.6590.641$12.83−$0.35
Will Chandler Simpson lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases? · No0.8700.640$12.80−$4.60
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 45%-50%? · No0.7100.630$12.60−$1.60
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 5%-10%? · No0.6900.625$12.51−$1.30
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? · No0.6900.610$12.20−$1.60
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5550.305$12.20−$10.00
Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026? · No0.7500.605$12.10−$2.90
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? · No0.7400.595$11.90−$2.90
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 40%-45%? · No0.7300.580$11.60−$3.00
Will Otzma Yehudit win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.7300.525$11.40−$4.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 13:52Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.73$14.60
10-10 13:51Will Cincinnati (CFB) have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.42$4.22
10-10 13:51Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%?BUY0.7789999977$15.60
10-10 13:51Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?SELL0.34$0.06
10-10 13:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.859$17.18
10-10 13:50Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.8$15.98
10-10 13:50Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.11$2.20
10-10 13:50Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?BUY0.9749999749$19.39
10-10 13:50Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.77$15.40
10-10 13:49Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?BUY0.8614839386$17.22
10-10 13:49Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 10%-15%?BUY0.883$17.66
10-10 13:49Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.8$16.00
10-10 13:49Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.8$16.00
10-10 13:48Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 10%-15%?BUY0.8$16.00
10-10 13:47Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?BUY0.901$9.01