PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bperil

0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24

Realised P&L
$27.7k
Volume
$1.93M
Markets traded
1,770
Open portfolio
$22.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,770
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:56Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-17 17:52Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.207999996$10.00
09-17 17:52Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.2099999983$20.00
09-17 10:10Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.2099999969$6.00
09-17 10:10Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.2059999971$3.00
09-17 07:10Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?BUY0.96$100.00
09-17 07:09Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.9639999985$60.00
09-17 06:29Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17?BUY0.1099999971$3.00
09-17 06:29Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?SELL0.25$7.35
09-16 22:17Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2999999999$500.00
09-16 22:16Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2999999999$200.00
09-16 22:04Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$300.00
09-16 21:07Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0829999999$50.00
09-16 20:08Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.517405261$1.1k
09-16 19:00Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199999965$50.00