Bperil
0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24
- Realised P&L
- $25.5k
- Volume
- $1.72M
- Markets traded
- 1,619
- Open portfolio
- $23.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,619
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.566Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
- +$2.2kat 0.541Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
- +$1.9kat 0.453Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.928Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.1kat 0.701Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:01 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $40.00 |
| 08-03 03:10 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $68.38 |
| 08-03 03:10 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $69.76 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2489999986 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:54 | Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.106839736 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 20:54 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9099999975 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 06:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.488 | $147.79 |
| 08-02 06:07 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.2600826651 | $125.85 |
| 08-02 06:06 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $37.50 |
| 08-02 06:05 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | SELL | 0.2215200456 | $11.66 |
| 08-02 04:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 08-02 02:28 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $500.00 |
| 08-01 22:45 | Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? | BUY | 0.207 | $8.28 |
| 08-01 22:14 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 22:11 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.11672 | $3.65 |