Bperil
0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24
- Realised P&L
- $27.7k
- Volume
- $1.93M
- Markets traded
- 1,770
- Open portfolio
- $22.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,770
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.566Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.551Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
- +$1.9kat 0.453Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.928Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.1kat 0.801Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:56 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 17:52 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.207999996 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 17:52 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 10:10 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999969 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 10:10 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2059999971 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 07:10 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 07:09 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.9639999985 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.1099999971 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.35 |
| 09-16 22:17 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-16 22:16 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999999 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 22:04 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 09-16 21:07 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0829999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 20:08 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.517405261 | $1.1k |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |