Bperil
0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24
- Realised P&L
- $26.5k
- Volume
- $2.15M
- Markets traded
- 1,863
- Open portfolio
- $24.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,863
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.566Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.551Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
- +$1.9kat 0.453Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.928Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.1kat 0.801Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:21 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999993 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $111.54 |
| 11-01 17:32 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999997 | $250.00 |
| 11-01 16:18 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 04:24 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.71 | $221.88 |
| 11-01 04:23 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.71 | $425.99 |
| 11-01 00:25 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3490088141 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 02:48 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 02:48 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 02:47 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $78.85 |
| 10-31 02:46 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $75.77 |
| 10-30 22:53 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 22:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.8699999968 | $30.00 |
| 10-30 22:24 | Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $25.00 |