PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bperil

0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24

Realised P&L
$26.5k
Volume
$2.15M
Markets traded
1,863
Open portfolio
$24.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,863
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:21Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7299999993$200.00
11-01 17:40Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.29$111.54
11-01 17:32Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2599999997$100.00
11-01 17:04Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6799999997$250.00
11-01 16:18Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.709999998$100.00
11-01 04:24Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.71$221.88
11-01 04:23Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.71$425.99
11-01 00:25Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3490088141$20.00
10-31 02:48Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.27$10.00
10-31 02:48Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.26$15.00
10-31 02:47Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.3$78.85
10-31 02:46Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.29$75.77
10-30 22:53Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3099999992$50.00
10-30 22:48Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?BUY0.8699999968$30.00
10-30 22:24Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?BUY0.4099999984$25.00