Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.30. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.28 to 0.33. 140 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.31	465	465
0.32	2,770	3,235
0.33	185	3,420
0.34	2,510	5,930
0.35	515	6,445
0.36	147	6,593
0.37	262	6,855
0.38	438	7,293
0.39	238	7,531
0.40	84	7,615
0.42	1,000	8,615
0.45	25	8,640

Spread0.02Mid0.30

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.29	23	23
0.28	3,243	3,265
0.27	1,148	4,413
0.26	360	4,773
0.25	220	4,993
0.24	175	5,168
0.23	235	5,403
0.22	391	5,795
0.21	452	6,247
0.20	369	6,616
0.19	388	7,004
0.18	409	7,413

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.71	23	23
0.72	3,243	3,265
0.73	1,148	4,413
0.74	360	4,773
0.75	220	4,993
0.76	175	5,168
0.77	235	5,403
0.78	391	5,795
0.79	452	6,247
0.80	369	6,616
0.81	388	7,004
0.82	409	7,413

Spread0.02Mid0.70

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.69	465	465
0.68	2,770	3,235
0.67	185	3,420
0.66	2,510	5,930
0.65	515	6,445
0.64	147	6,593
0.63	262	6,855
0.62	438	7,293
0.61	238	7,531
0.60	84	7,615
0.58	1,000	8,615
0.55	25	8,640

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
compute	Yes	2,831.01
NiceDuckBro	Yes	1,124.98
pink.impala	Yes	917.25
leCommissaire	Yes	385
abdoohl	Yes	285.2
randomWalkingShrimp	Yes	284.08
0x978379E389e7e468C8AbB1390d366e3e1F7daC60-1771792686730	Yes	93.3
Anonnnn2409	Yes	91.78
asterley	Yes	88.67
sh0rtazmus	Yes	86.96
Haradwaith	Yes	80.76
balthazar	Yes	75.27
v.tii	Yes	75
Speaker-NancyPelosi	Yes	59.12
ObamAisAhomo	Yes	50
0xEcb1f2E73018a6438E7296A7b379d6eD8451c94a-1771748596083	Yes	38.46
efef94	Yes	35.51
BetsAhead	Yes	33.33
meow-123	Yes	29.26
0x2f7733D410c61115B3BFe31E3345251148d64B79-1783087550131	Yes	26.93

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:01:48	SELL	No	0.69	5	$3.45
10:36:24	BUY	No	0.71	61	$43.59
10:35:08	SELL	Yes	0.3	50	$15.00
10:35:06	BUY	No	0.7	50	$35.00
10:35:05	BUY	No	0.6834328871	146	$99.54
10:29:09	BUY	No	0.69	5	$3.45
10:13:18	BUY	Yes	0.33	5	$1.65
10:13:11	BUY	No	0.68	5	$3.40
18:12:50	SELL	No	0.67	31	$20.77
18:11:02	SELL	No	0.67	30	$20.10
18:11:00	BUY	Yes	0.32	285	$91.26
14:39:03	BUY	Yes	0.31	21	$6.51
14:38:32	BUY	Yes	0.31	6	$1.86
14:38:21	BUY	Yes	0.32	6	$1.85
14:38:21	BUY	Yes	0.31	30	$9.30
22:09:33	SELL	No	0.7	5	$3.50
14:00:44	BUY	No	0.71	5	$3.55
22:41:06	SELL	No	0.71	86	$61.27
22:08:14	SELL	Yes	0.28	3	$0.84
11:16:46	SELL	Yes	0.28	6	$1.68
11:16:25	SELL	Yes	0.28	1	$0.20
11:16:25	SELL	Yes	0.28	17	$4.76
11:16:23	SELL	Yes	0.29	75	$21.75
07:00:22	SELL	Yes	0.29	15	$4.26
17:49:25	SELL	Yes	0.29	90	$26.10