asterley
0xe762c62c0cd669fe9f6c7ac08be8e2700418064b
- Realised P&L
- $958.53
- Volume
- $495.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,083
- Open portfolio
- $9.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,083
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$417.41at 0.338Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$246.52at 0.939Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
- +$229.26at 0.726Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
- +$198.34at 0.360Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
- +$182.98at 0.177US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:21 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.44 |
| 09-15 21:21 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.266 | $11.17 |
| 09-15 21:18 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.341 | $12.09 |
| 09-15 19:58 | Real Madrid CF leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.67 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Real Madrid CF leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.27 |
| 09-15 19:55 | Real Madrid CF leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.53 | $9.28 |
| 09-15 17:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.694 | $97.16 |
| 09-15 17:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 09-15 16:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.9067641176 | $120.59 |
| 09-15 12:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.324 | $1.14 |
| 09-15 12:52 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.27 |
| 09-15 12:29 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $21.00 |
| 09-15 12:09 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $21.35 |
| 09-15 11:50 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.55 | $19.25 |
| 09-15 11:45 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.56 | $19.59 |