asterley
0xe762c62c0cd669fe9f6c7ac08be8e2700418064b
- Realised P&L
- $849.51
- Volume
- $570.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,223
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,223
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$653.47at 0.205Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$417.41at 0.338Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$380.76at 0.863Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
- +$330.07at 0.455Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
- +$309.81at 0.637Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:14 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.93 | $12.47 |
| 11-01 18:14 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.92 | $7.12 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $19.27 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $20.48 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $3.65 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.56 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $18.30 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $33.60 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $23.13 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $24.58 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $26.11 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $27.74 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $29.48 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.87 | $31.32 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.8717630597 | $18.69 |