PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asterley

0xe762c62c0cd669fe9f6c7ac08be8e2700418064b

Realised P&L
$958.53
Volume
$495.4k
Markets traded
1,083
Open portfolio
$9.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,083
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8450.945$2.8k+$292.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7450.855$1.1k+$146.13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5220.685$1.1k+$255.91
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4830.485$596.42+$2.61
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · No0.4720.465$556.90$8.98
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4830.595$189.24+$35.63
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2870.541$182.98+$85.79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · No0.7030.888$152.03+$31.65
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1890.205$128.19+$9.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? · No0.9070.947$125.94+$5.35
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · Yes0.5100.255$123.85$123.82
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · Yes0.5410.425$83.51$22.79
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8690.855$81.09$1.37
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.2980.915$76.38+$51.46
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2690.185$75.97$34.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:21Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.23$6.44
09-15 21:21Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.266$11.17
09-15 21:18Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.341$12.09
09-15 19:58Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?SELL0.9$9.67
09-15 19:56Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?BUY0.54$1.27
09-15 19:55Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?BUY0.53$9.28
09-15 17:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.694$97.16
09-15 17:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.39$3.90
09-15 16:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?BUY0.9067641176$120.59
09-15 12:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?SELL0.324$1.14
09-15 12:52Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.2$6.27
09-15 12:29Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.6$21.00
09-15 12:09Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.61$21.35
09-15 11:50Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.55$19.25
09-15 11:45Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.56$19.59