asterley
0xe762c62c0cd669fe9f6c7ac08be8e2700418064b
- Realised P&L
- $647.01
- Volume
- $442.8k
- Markets traded
- 950
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded950
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$417.41at 0.338Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$246.52at 0.939Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
- +$198.34at 0.360Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
- +$182.98at 0.177US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
- +$180.09at 0.453Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:07 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $30.80 |
| 08-03 00:11 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.14 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $47.24 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $90.30 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $90.30 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2947142857 | $10.31 |
| 08-02 21:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $8.57 |
| 08-02 21:03 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $21.70 |
| 08-02 21:02 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.23 | $24.15 |
| 08-02 20:38 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.024 | $5.04 |
| 08-02 18:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $7.88 |
| 08-02 18:44 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.44 | $30.62 |
| 08-02 18:21 | Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? | BUY | 0.2919214286 | $20.43 |
| 08-02 15:06 | Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.55 |
| 08-02 09:17 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.33 |