PacalHarcos
0xf2a6fbc3a05c7457191a49366bd3f980af4d24b8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $123.3k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $486.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$579.34at 0.248Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
- +$321.55at 0.207Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
- +$63.39at 0.589Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?
- +$44.89at 0.348Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
- +$28.54at 0.627Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 13:07 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.015029519 | $11.04 |
| 09-07 17:42 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 22:34 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.42 |
| 09-06 22:16 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $24.00 |
| 09-06 20:29 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.99 |
| 09-06 20:18 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.012 | $6.00 |
| 09-06 20:16 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.10 |
| 09-06 14:35 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $7.31 |
| 09-06 13:34 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $10.96 |
| 09-05 23:18 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.27 |
| 09-05 13:55 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $7.18 |
| 09-05 13:47 | Will Russia enter Borova by September 30? | BUY | 0.119 | $4.76 |
| 09-05 13:47 | Will Russia enter Borova by September 30? | BUY | 0.099 | $9.41 |
| 09-03 21:16 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $23.81 |
| 09-03 21:15 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $8.55 |