PolyBot

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Traders

PacalHarcos

0xf2a6fbc3a05c7457191a49366bd3f980af4d24b8

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$123.3k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$486.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.2500.105$159.17$220.34
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2180.150$117.88$53.65
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · Yes0.1710.050$92.20$225.94
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1150.065$44.56$33.99
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · Yes0.4000.225$22.34$17.38
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4320.185$19.26$25.74
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30? · Yes0.1600.069$11.44$15.21
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.035$10.65$25.35
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? · Yes0.4400.295$6.70$3.30
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30? · Yes0.1300.045$1.82$3.38
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$56.86
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$72.15
Will Russia enter Borova by June 30? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$9.30
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.000$0.00$228.25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? · Yes0.3230.000$0.00$395.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 13:07Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?SELL0.015029519$11.04
09-07 17:42Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
09-06 22:34Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.002$1.42
09-06 22:16Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.16$24.00
09-06 20:29Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.01$1.99
09-06 20:18Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.012$6.00
09-06 20:16Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.011$0.10
09-06 14:35Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.17$7.31
09-06 13:34Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.18$10.96
09-05 23:18Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.17$5.27
09-05 13:55Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.17$7.18
09-05 13:47Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?BUY0.119$4.76
09-05 13:47Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?BUY0.099$9.41
09-03 21:16Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.15$23.81
09-03 21:15Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$8.55