MusakaKing
0x7727f91b52d26a2ff22130434a9e9c39d52315a4
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $96.0k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $82.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.147Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.625Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.704Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
- +$626.73at 0.910Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
- +$400.23at 0.862Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:07 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $22.19 |
| 09-13 08:46 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3986710963 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 08:46 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0348021382 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 20:15 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0841121492 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 16:40 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $7.80 |
| 09-10 09:05 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $3.35 |
| 09-08 00:50 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.052 | $2.04 |
| 09-07 17:31 | Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 16:11 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 16:11 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.1048724308 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 06:55 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | BUY | 0.449999988 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 06:55 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.0862559732 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 02:48 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $319.00 |
| 09-03 14:47 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0623001554 | $15.00 |
| 09-03 14:47 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $15.00 |