PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MusakaKing

0x7727f91b52d26a2ff22130434a9e9c39d52315a4

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$96.0k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$82.48

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · No0.8500.935$21.99+$2.00
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · Yes0.4450.255$17.20$12.81
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0840.065$11.59$3.41
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0350.056$8.75+$3.26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · No0.4400.930$7.81+$4.11
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31? · Yes0.3200.150$7.03$7.97
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3110.485$3.12+$1.12
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.815$1.35+$0.09
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.205$1.28+$0.28
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · Yes0.3000.025$1.25$13.75
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.105$0.62$0.38
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0720.035$0.49$0.51
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00$25.30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.1730.000$0.00$20.00
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 19:07Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?SELL0.07$22.19
09-13 08:46Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3986710963$15.00
09-13 08:46Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0348021382$15.00
09-12 20:15Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0841121492$15.00
09-10 16:40Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?SELL0.04$7.80
09-10 09:05Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?SELL0.044$3.35
09-08 00:50Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?SELL0.052$2.04
09-07 17:31Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?BUY0.32$15.00
09-05 16:11Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.4399999847$15.00
09-05 16:11Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?BUY0.1048724308$15.00
09-04 06:55Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.449999988$15.00
09-04 06:55Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?BUY0.0862559732$15.00
09-04 02:48Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?SELL0.85$319.00
09-03 14:47Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0623001554$15.00
09-03 14:47Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999896$15.00