sh0rtazmus
0x99f1acf3b98aa1d5e4589e7df23ee16555bf80f2
- Realised P&L
- $603.58
- Volume
- $153.6k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $135.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.012Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$62.73at 0.141Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$60.55at 0.550Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$42.28at 0.819Nothing Ever Happens: May
- +$20.84at 0.550Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 10:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1369999895 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 10:03 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0689999937 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 10:03 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 12:42 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5499999977 | $24.00 |
| 06-01 12:40 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5499999895 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 12:40 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 12:38 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.625 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 12:38 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.0210000001 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 12:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.7599999891 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 12:35 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.5399999935 | $25.00 |
| 06-01 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | SELL | 0.429375 | $4.88 |
| 06-01 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 12:26 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 05:19 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SELL | 0.9892135914 | $245.28 |
| 05-24 17:04 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |