PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sh0rtazmus

0x99f1acf3b98aa1d5e4589e7df23ee16555bf80f2

Realised P&L
$603.58
Volume
$153.6k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$135.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.875$112.18+$12.18
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.105$9.13−$10.87
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1600.055$8.59−$16.41
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.6250.205$3.28−$6.72
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.017$1.83−$8.17
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Up0.1170.000$0.00−$81.07
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$4.50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 10:03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1369999895$10.00
06-21 10:03Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0689999937$10.00
06-21 10:03Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
06-01 12:42Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5499999977$24.00
06-01 12:40Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5499999895$50.00
06-01 12:40Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
06-01 12:38Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.625$10.00
06-01 12:38Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.0210000001$5.00
06-01 12:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.7599999891$50.00
06-01 12:35Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?BUY0.5399999935$25.00
06-01 12:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSELL0.429375$4.88
06-01 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.4399999648$5.00
06-01 12:26Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999931$20.00
06-01 05:19Nothing Ever Happens: MaySELL0.9892135914$245.28
05-24 17:04Nothing Ever Happens: MayBUY0.7399999457$3.00