Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-04-23
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.70. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.66. Range 0.66 to 0.70. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.71	30	30
0.72	103	133
0.74	30	163
0.76	62	225
0.77	52	277
0.78	112	390
0.79	119	509
0.80	35	544
0.81	14	557
0.82	20	577
0.83	5	582
0.84	500	1,082

Spread0.02Mid0.70

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.69	26	26
0.68	193	219
0.66	250	469
0.64	56	525
0.63	51	576
0.62	78	655
0.61	75	730
0.60	62	792
0.59	50	842
0.58	50	892
0.57	54	946
0.56	56	1,002

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.31	26	26
0.32	193	219
0.34	250	469
0.36	56	525
0.37	51	576
0.38	78	655
0.39	75	730
0.40	62	792
0.41	50	842
0.42	50	892
0.43	54	946
0.44	56	1,002

Spread0.02Mid0.30

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.29	30	30
0.28	103	133
0.26	30	163
0.24	62	225
0.23	52	277
0.22	112	390
0.21	119	509
0.20	35	544
0.19	14	557
0.18	20	577
0.17	5	582
0.16	500	1,082

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
BISTURI	Yes	1,061.87
ymbetzzz	Yes	253.69
Dr.PNL	Yes	221.12
Haradwaith	Yes	152.67
heyocopytraders	Yes	110.61
0xe947b4FEE4245F5eFD2618E6C89dE8bB21D1aB96-1768430827435	Yes	100
Quai-Orsay	Yes	67.78
slothtrader	Yes	52.93
zgmzgm	Yes	51.78
predictdogepepewif	Yes	46.43
AJSV	Yes	45
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	30
MoonShootBets	Yes	14.93
BasileEmperor	Yes	11.24
jonrbzhqbwnc	Yes	5.88
0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788	Yes	5
0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332	Yes	5
0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111	Yes	5
nidrac2	No	1,481.33
datperson	No	261.31

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:20:10	SELL	No	0.26	20	$5.20
17:19:20	SELL	No	0.27	20	$5.40
17:17:49	SELL	No	0.28	20	$5.60
17:13:38	BUY	Yes	0.6739930624	254	$170.99
15:06:39	SELL	Yes	0.6558615264	25	$16.67
11:22:51	BUY	Yes	0.6699999839	15	$10.00
15:12:42	BUY	Yes	0.66	30	$19.80
14:43:13	SELL	Yes	0.66	76	$50.16
14:41:12	SELL	Yes	0.68	7	$4.77
14:37:16	SELL	Yes	0.69	125	$86.54
20:35:40	SELL	Yes	0.68	1	$0.58
10:01:37	SELL	Yes	0.7	101	$70.59
11:05:21	SELL	No	0.22	4	$0.97
11:05:19	BUY	No	0.2177544613	503	$109.58
22:47:34	SELL	No	0.2	22	$4.32
20:52:28	BUY	Yes	0.79	50	$39.50
19:53:36	SELL	No	0.18	30	$5.40
19:53:27	SELL	No	0.19	78	$14.89
19:52:45	SELL	No	0.2009241921	66	$13.31
19:35:04	BUY	No	0.21	6	$1.33
19:34:52	BUY	No	0.1999995	200	$40.00
19:34:33	BUY	No	0.19	55	$10.45
22:15:16	BUY	No	0.18	16	$2.88
19:34:41	SELL	No	0.14	124	$17.42
15:37:04	BUY	Yes	0.83	20	$16.18