PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111

0xd823721597a464008050819ecc2d6c2c43e512fe

Realised P&L
$-313.47
Volume
$94.5k
Markets traded
3,142
Open portfolio
$198.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,142
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 05:46Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?SELL0.88$7.52
09-10 10:32Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.12$0.84
09-07 18:46Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?SELL0.45$4.16
09-05 22:52Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?SELL0.1$1.00
09-04 02:12Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?SELL0.83$4.15
09-02 13:22Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?SELL0.48$3.35
09-02 05:46Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?SELL0.26$2.60
09-01 14:44Will Wellington Fagundes win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?SELL0.6$6.00
08-31 21:00Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?SELL0.58$5.13
08-31 20:50Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?SELL0.79$3.95
08-31 10:41Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?SELL0.07$0.70
08-30 16:30Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?SELL0.57$4.06
08-30 16:02Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?SELL0.79$7.90
08-29 16:46Spread: Raiders (-3.5)SELL0.48$4.80
08-29 13:32Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026?SELL0.87$7.93