zgmzgm
0x95b7eeb039775b9a0058f02dc7e58ca249a1c651
- Realised P&L
- $-46.82
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $141.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.02at 0.677Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
- +$10.09at 0.065Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
- +$6.65at 0.490Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$6.32at 0.592Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
- +$5.19at 0.246Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:05 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.7293605442 | $10.72 |
| 09-16 07:45 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:39 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3414634063 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 11:55 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | BUY | 0.9179999985 | $12.00 |
| 09-15 11:52 | Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.8660248447 | $43.22 |
| 09-15 11:48 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.97 | $3.06 |
| 09-15 11:36 | Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 11:36 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | BUY | 0.9179999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 11:34 | Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.36 |
| 09-15 11:17 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9219999889 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 07:49 | Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 11:28 | Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 09-11 06:43 | Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.68 |
| 09-11 06:41 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9419999928 | $6.00 |
| 09-06 19:51 | Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |