PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zgmzgm

0x95b7eeb039775b9a0058f02dc7e58ca249a1c651

Realised P&L
$-46.82
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$141.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9340.946$20.25+$0.25
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? · No0.9810.980$16.91$0.03
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes0.7320.510$14.06$6.13
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes0.9180.922$13.07+$0.07
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · Yes0.6200.710$11.45+$1.45
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? · Yes0.1260.110$10.46$1.54
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8590.845$9.82$0.16
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.3520.310$9.08$1.24
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9370.918$7.84$0.16
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · No0.6140.595$7.75$0.25
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3500.245$4.90$2.10
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.895$4.71$0.29
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9300.930$4.00+$0.00
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.9400.945$2.66+$0.01
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9530.980$2.06+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:05Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.7293605442$10.72
09-16 07:45Will France pass a national budget by December 31?BUY0.5899999725$3.00
09-16 07:39Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3414634063$10.00
09-15 11:55Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?BUY0.9179999985$12.00
09-15 11:52Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.8660248447$43.22
09-15 11:48Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?SELL0.97$3.06
09-15 11:36Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-15 11:36Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?BUY0.9179999945$1.00
09-15 11:34Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.008$0.36
09-15 11:17Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9219999889$2.00
09-15 07:49Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?BUY0.0899999969$2.00
09-12 11:28Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?SELL0.001$0.07
09-11 06:43Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.83$5.68
09-11 06:41Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9419999928$6.00
09-06 19:51Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8899999858$5.00