PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BISTURI

0x22e4a734845a79da7548676afec5cefb412d66e5

Realised P&L
$-7.0k
Volume
$646.7k
Markets traded
300
Open portfolio
$10.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded300
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8800.945$9.5k+$653.20
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9860.995$238.80+$2.17
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.9300.975$211.47+$9.66
Macron out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9510.981$194.13+$5.84
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? · No0.9960.994$102.64−$0.19
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9930.993$70.64+$0.01
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.9400.940$70.01+$0.00
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.9430.945$47.23+$0.07
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9920.993$29.69+$0.03
Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? · No0.9820.990$19.74+$0.15
French election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.929$14.31+$0.14
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · No0.9630.960$10.59−$0.03
Will Union Foot de Touraine win on 2025-11-16? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00−$4.95
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Jannik Sinner0.9760.000$0.00−$9.6k
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9680.000$0.00−$321.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:47Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9958005036$102.83
10-26 20:05Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.998$6.99
10-26 20:03Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.998$3.8k
10-26 10:35Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.999$499.50
10-25 19:31Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.9797567988$365.31
10-23 05:30Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.9897893935$338.00
10-21 18:41Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.9793341912$319.65
10-20 16:32France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?BUY0.991$8.73
10-18 15:16Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.979482951$235.26
10-16 05:10Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$5.0k
10-15 21:03Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9859583333$236.63
10-15 20:29Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9928594321$70.63
10-15 20:28Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?BUY0.982$19.59
10-15 20:24Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?BUY0.992$29.66
10-15 19:59Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.9790659394$1.7k