BISTURI
0x22e4a734845a79da7548676afec5cefb412d66e5
- Realised P&L
- $-7.0k
- Volume
- $646.7k
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $10.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.00at 0.880Will France win Eurovision 2026?
- +$156.84at 0.852Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
- +$151.50at 0.942Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$149.87at 0.990Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$138.75at 0.984Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:47 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9958005036 | $102.83 |
| 10-26 20:05 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.99 |
| 10-26 20:03 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.8k |
| 10-26 10:35 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 10-25 19:31 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | BUY | 0.9797567988 | $365.31 |
| 10-23 05:30 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | BUY | 0.9897893935 | $338.00 |
| 10-21 18:41 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | BUY | 0.9793341912 | $319.65 |
| 10-20 16:32 | France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $8.73 |
| 10-18 15:16 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | BUY | 0.979482951 | $235.26 |
| 10-16 05:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.0k |
| 10-15 21:03 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9859583333 | $236.63 |
| 10-15 20:29 | Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9928594321 | $70.63 |
| 10-15 20:28 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $19.59 |
| 10-15 20:24 | Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.66 |
| 10-15 19:59 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | BUY | 0.9790659394 | $1.7k |