slothtrader
0x9cd1451d67a00c3867bc1da81a4a4374b9341eb0
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $3.36M
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No | 0.910 | 0.935 | $810.42 | +$21.24 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.018 | $267.74 | +$13.50 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No | 0.862 | 0.885 | $92.61 | +$2.37 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.582 | 0.535 | $23.69 | −$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$979.02at 0.065Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$978.67at 0.808Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$517.53at 0.698Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$323.42at 0.909Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik
- +$302.91at 0.010Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 00:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $67.23 |
| 09-13 00:36 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 09-13 00:35 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $4.62 |
| 09-13 00:34 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $82.94 |
| 09-09 09:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-08 08:13 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-06 08:32 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 09-04 17:15 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $35.40 |
| 08-30 20:27 | Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.96 |
| 08-30 19:25 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-30 19:25 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.59 |
| 08-30 19:22 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $33.63 |
| 08-30 18:59 | Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 08-30 18:57 | Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 08-30 18:56 | Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $52.83 |