datperson
0x5d2f7bccc1e4ca204ade22ff193d2759ca6324de
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $321.2k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $10.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.200Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.065Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$1.2kat 0.420Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$655.70at 0.374Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
- +$522.90at 0.657U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:40 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.016 | $75.29 |
| 10-18 21:39 | Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.921 | $184.20 |
| 10-03 00:55 | Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.932 | $4.66 |
| 09-28 10:18 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.919714 | $551.83 |
| 09-22 22:47 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0057456377 | $133.71 |
| 09-12 22:02 | Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $65.50 |
| 09-09 15:49 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.03 | $133.09 |
| 09-08 09:05 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0336558724 | $46.32 |
| 09-04 08:37 | Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.0145326545 | $4.00 |
| 09-01 18:55 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.89 | $284.49 |
| 09-01 18:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $651.00 |
| 09-01 18:52 | Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | SELL | 0.0134801191 | $1.77 |
| 09-01 18:51 | Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.9913715 | $39.65 |
| 09-01 18:42 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.57 | $131.10 |
| 09-01 18:42 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |