PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

datperson

0x5d2f7bccc1e4ca204ade22ff193d2759ca6324de

Realised P&L
$5.0k
Volume
$232.7k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$14.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.2000.825$2.7k+$2.1k
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0940.125$2.7k+$678.40
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0290.048$1.2k+$471.19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.7690.895$1.2k+$166.60
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.3310.380$850.33+$109.09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1400.182$730.00+$170.00
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2820.395$697.91+$199.79
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0570.131$687.30+$388.31
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8000.925$555.30+$75.30
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · No0.3180.290$337.81$32.39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3700.550$330.00+$108.00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.650$325.00+$0.00
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.6870.725$299.59+$15.60
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4780.575$287.50+$48.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5100.445$267.00$39.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 22:02Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.83$65.50
09-09 15:49Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.03$133.09
09-08 09:05Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0336558724$46.32
09-04 08:37Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?SELL0.0145326545$4.00
09-01 18:552026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.89$284.49
09-01 18:53Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$651.00
09-01 18:52Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?SELL0.0134801191$1.77
09-01 18:51Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9913715$39.65
09-01 18:42Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.57$131.10
09-01 18:42Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.57$2.85
08-31 13:53Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.51$204.00
08-31 13:22Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.962$1.1k
08-30 22:32Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.65$325.00
08-27 01:35Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.0801818182$22.05
08-27 01:34Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.3271186884$250.20