PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

datperson

0x5d2f7bccc1e4ca204ade22ff193d2759ca6324de

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$321.2k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$10.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0940.135$3.3k+$1.0k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.7690.945$1.2k+$232.58
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2800.310$671.73+$64.01
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0270.021$669.78−$221.27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0570.125$658.33+$359.34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1400.162$646.00+$86.00
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3700.805$483.00+$261.00
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8040.790$457.34−$8.15
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.3310.180$402.79−$338.45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.745$372.50+$47.50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4780.705$352.50+$113.50
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.865$259.50+$145.50
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2160.215$225.28−$1.01
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.6870.390$161.16−$122.84
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3500.715$143.00+$73.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 21:40Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.016$75.29
10-18 21:39Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.921$184.20
10-03 00:55Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.932$4.66
09-28 10:18Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.919714$551.83
09-22 22:47Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0057456377$133.71
09-12 22:02Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.83$65.50
09-09 15:49Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.03$133.09
09-08 09:05Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0336558724$46.32
09-04 08:37Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?SELL0.0145326545$4.00
09-01 18:552026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.89$284.49
09-01 18:53Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$651.00
09-01 18:52Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?SELL0.0134801191$1.77
09-01 18:51Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9913715$39.65
09-01 18:42Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.57$131.10
09-01 18:42Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.57$2.85