PolyBot

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Traders

nidrac2

0xaf68f19b5deceb2188ddc0e3ac225907923ae9a7

Realised P&L
$10.9k
Volume
$1.47M
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · No0.9870.993$535.54+$3.13
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1180.125$350.00+$19.35
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8580.895$301.66+$12.64
Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? · No0.8270.880$202.32+$12.12
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0240.015$173.33$108.77
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.0580.060$96.10+$3.59
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.1390.125$90.30$10.17
Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? · Yes0.6580.675$81.74+$2.05
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.3900.375$75.00$3.00
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2950.265$67.06$7.70
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary? · No0.1600.110$66.93$30.72
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.3850.405$63.50+$3.12
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0240.051$54.23+$28.51
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · Yes0.7000.730$48.29+$1.98
Will Philippe Brun finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? · No0.9800.960$48.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:09Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8761365552$124.73
09-17 23:43Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.9884437$197.69
09-17 23:36Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.1674816212$51.49
09-17 10:37Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.0816521739$3.76
09-17 08:19Will Jérôme Guedj win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?SELL0.009$0.26
09-17 08:17Will Karim Bouamrane win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?SELL0.001$0.03
09-16 08:55Will Philippe Brun finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?BUY0.98$49.00
09-15 12:39Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.27$0.08
09-15 12:38Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8554417859$64.00
09-15 12:34Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.82$16.30
09-15 08:54Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.9895241911$395.14
09-15 08:52Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?SELL0.003$0.30
09-15 08:47Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.054$2.58
09-15 05:51Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.22$4.40
09-15 04:40Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.0708446389$32.38