nidrac2
0xaf68f19b5deceb2188ddc0e3ac225907923ae9a7
- Realised P&L
- $11.4k
- Volume
- $1.39M
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.159Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.6kat 0.008Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$922.64at 0.008Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$458.28at 0.730Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$446.55at 0.680Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:24 | Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.3398056667 | $101.94 |
| 08-02 06:22 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.6188609071 | $53.08 |
| 08-02 06:21 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 08-02 06:21 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 07-27 12:58 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 07-26 08:30 | Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.20 |
| 07-22 08:31 | Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $27.43 |
| 07-21 20:26 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 07-21 20:23 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $66.00 |
| 07-21 20:17 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0754144461 | $159.06 |
| 07-21 11:05 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.2177544613 | $109.58 |
| 07-21 11:02 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.90 |
| 07-21 11:02 | Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.60 |
| 07-21 11:02 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.60 |
| 07-21 11:02 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.60 |