nidrac2
0xaf68f19b5deceb2188ddc0e3ac225907923ae9a7
- Realised P&L
- $10.9k
- Volume
- $1.47M
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.157Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.4kat 0.008Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$864.55at 0.008Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$469.94at 0.730Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$446.04at 0.680Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:09 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8761365552 | $124.73 |
| 09-17 23:43 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9884437 | $197.69 |
| 09-17 23:36 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.1674816212 | $51.49 |
| 09-17 10:37 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0816521739 | $3.76 |
| 09-17 08:19 | Will Jérôme Guedj win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.26 |
| 09-17 08:17 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 09-16 08:55 | Will Philippe Brun finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-15 12:39 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.08 |
| 09-15 12:38 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8554417859 | $64.00 |
| 09-15 12:34 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.30 |
| 09-15 08:54 | Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9895241911 | $395.14 |
| 09-15 08:52 | Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 09-15 08:47 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.054 | $2.58 |
| 09-15 05:51 | Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-15 04:40 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0708446389 | $32.38 |