PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nidrac2

0xaf68f19b5deceb2188ddc0e3ac225907923ae9a7

Realised P&L
$11.4k
Volume
$1.39M
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.1770.300$444.40+$182.28
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.034$444.07+$168.68
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0220.025$248.91+$33.05
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · Yes0.2930.390$226.79+$56.37
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · No0.6380.630$151.81$2.05
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.1410.135$141.95$6.90
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0320.135$141.09+$107.15
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.0750.095$130.60+$27.16
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0120.017$117.24+$30.31
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.004$85.19+$4.45
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2950.290$73.39$1.37
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.7920.885$49.64+$5.21
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.3870.375$40.05$1.33
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0620.114$34.77+$15.72
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0060.002$24.77$72.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:24Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.3398056667$101.94
08-02 06:22Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.6188609071$53.08
08-02 06:21Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.6$24.00
08-02 06:21Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.6$30.00
07-27 12:58Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.13$1.30
07-26 08:30Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.001$1.20
07-22 08:31Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.76$27.43
07-21 20:26Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.16$16.00
07-21 20:23Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.11$66.00
07-21 20:17Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.0754144461$159.06
07-21 11:05Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.2177544613$109.58
07-21 11:02Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.003$0.90
07-21 11:02Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.002$0.60
07-21 11:02Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.002$0.60
07-21 11:02Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.002$0.60