PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BasileEmperor

0x74dc0b6ead0c3841bef5ebdf9a7b8d0499652762

Realised P&L
$-69.60
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$132.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes0.8700.820$15.92$0.97
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.595$13.84+$3.84
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.7900.935$11.84+$1.84
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0860.093$10.81+$0.81
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8200.865$10.55+$0.55
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.245$9.07$0.93
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.625$8.56$1.44
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0330.051$7.73+$2.73
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4000.305$7.63$2.38
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · Yes0.5450.405$6.68$2.32
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7100.796$5.61+$0.61
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6200.695$5.60+$0.60
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.6700.715$5.34+$0.34
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6120.425$3.47$1.53
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0120.021$1.71+$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 12:32Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?BUY0.8699999979$16.89
08-21 12:31Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0329999937$5.00
07-21 06:23Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?BUY0.9679999739$16.00
07-21 06:21Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
07-21 06:20Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$1.00
07-21 06:20Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
07-21 06:20Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.011999988$1.00
07-21 06:20Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.611999953$5.00
07-21 06:20Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
07-21 06:19Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
07-21 06:02Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0859999927$10.00
07-11 07:55Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?BUY0.8499998194$4.00
07-11 07:55Will France record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$2.02
07-11 07:54World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY0.9409999942$5.00
07-11 07:50Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4199999832$5.00