Quai-Orsay
0xe41e136cf11c89459ca57c1993efc13da69b5aa1
- Realised P&L
- $74.51
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $435.62
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.89at 0.660Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
- +$23.55at 0.652Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
- +$22.14at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$16.14at 0.796WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on April 28?
- +$14.16at 0.726WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 09-16 07:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 08:35 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 06:11 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $53.95 |
| 09-14 06:10 | Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.626026 | $31.30 |
| 09-14 06:09 | Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 09-14 06:09 | Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6199999715 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 17:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.63 | $9.84 |
| 09-10 17:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 17:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 10:09 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | BUY | 0.7179999951 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 09:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 07-07 12:38 | Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 06-18 08:10 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.5225154126 | $58.82 |
| 06-04 21:41 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.00 |