0xe947b4FEE4245F5eFD2618E6C89dE8bB21D1aB96-1768430827435
0xe947b4fee4245f5efd2618e6c89de8bb21d1ab96
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $150.4k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $33.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.165Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
- +$816.00at 0.372Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$643.91at 0.934Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
- +$485.39at 0.513Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$400.00at 0.200Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 22:47 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3798286667 | $4.6k |
| 07-29 22:42 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3599526667 | $107.99 |
| 07-29 22:31 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $315.00 |
| 07-29 22:29 | Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.61 | $91.50 |
| 07-29 22:21 | Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9327142857 | $326.45 |
| 07-23 00:44 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.89 | $356.00 |
| 07-23 00:38 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.74719 | $74.72 |
| 07-20 12:53 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.007 | $140.00 |
| 07-20 12:47 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.007 | $70.00 |
| 07-20 08:42 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.005 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 00:14 | Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.91 | $546.00 |
| 07-13 00:05 | Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.92 | $40.87 |
| 07-13 00:04 | Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $79.20 |
| 07-13 00:04 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 07-13 00:00 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.57 | $114.00 |