PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe947b4FEE4245F5eFD2618E6C89dE8bB21D1aB96-1768430827435

0xe947b4fee4245f5efd2618e6c89de8bb21d1ab96

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$150.4k
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$33.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3760.360$4.9k$221.65
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.964$1.2k+$28.80
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9160.950$1.1k+$37.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.976$975.49+$25.00
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8280.745$926.81$103.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.957$925.99+$55.15
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.9250.958$921.12+$30.70
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8800.865$884.66$15.34
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9270.981$805.89+$43.69
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9150.967$795.11+$42.48
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9170.954$788.53+$30.44
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9440.979$782.79+$27.70
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9160.905$697.43$8.56
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8500.696$695.50$154.50
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes0.6020.935$677.91+$241.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 22:47Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.3798286667$4.6k
07-29 22:42Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.3599526667$107.99
07-29 22:31Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.9$315.00
07-29 22:29Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.61$91.50
07-29 22:21Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9327142857$326.45
07-23 00:44Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.89$356.00
07-23 00:38Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.74719$74.72
07-20 12:53Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.007$140.00
07-20 12:47Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.007$70.00
07-20 08:42Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.005$50.00
07-13 00:14Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.91$546.00
07-13 00:05Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.92$40.87
07-13 00:04Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9$79.20
07-13 00:04Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.91$364.00
07-13 00:00Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.57$114.00