PolyBot

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Traders

PascalPro

0xe947b4fee4245f5efd2618e6c89de8bb21d1ab96

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$250.5k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$90.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8780.808$21.4k−$1.9k
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6610.785$5.6k+$886.96
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8910.840$3.1k−$190.44
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3760.215$3.0k−$2.2k
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8740.865$2.1k−$22.34
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8840.953$2.1k+$149.50
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8770.925$1.9k+$98.37
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9210.942$1.6k+$33.99
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9230.951$1.5k+$43.44
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8870.939$1.4k+$74.28
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9520.980$1.3k+$36.59
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.6410.820$1.3k+$274.54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9770.989$1.2k+$13.20
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.983$1.2k+$51.00
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8190.817$1.1k−$2.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 01:28French election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9131860465$78.53
10-26 07:54Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.778$182.22
10-26 07:53Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.72$26.64
10-26 07:52Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.63$78.75
10-23 16:44Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.14$195.24
10-21 23:34Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.826$63.00
10-19 11:40Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.73$109.50
10-19 11:34Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?BUY0.9281171784$436.82
10-12 10:16Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9231245611$378.55
10-12 08:45Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.948$47.40
10-12 08:43Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.89$219.74
10-11 22:59Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.27$51.68
10-06 18:49Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.884$1.8k
10-06 18:47Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.24$24.00
10-05 05:14Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.88$880.00