PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ymbetzzz

0xcd61a4fb38235046a3e3863efe565bfd2af90002

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$1.12M
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$17.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3660.564$3.9k+$1.4k
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2270.212$2.5k$164.11
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0180.016$1.7k$200.75
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9330.925$740.38$6.40
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7860.790$727.14+$3.41
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9060.886$620.20$14.00
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6310.615$619.80$16.15
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8700.943$584.35+$44.95
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0160.009$539.09$421.34
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9450.979$484.50+$16.83
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.3830.320$480.00$95.00
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9400.930$465.25$4.75
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0180.018$464.44+$6.49
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8000.945$399.48+$61.30
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7800.815$395.02+$16.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 22:27Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.18$12.12
09-14 20:23Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.194$36.27
09-14 00:18Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.16$5.33
09-11 11:00Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.97$388.00
09-09 12:21Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7$273.06
09-09 12:12Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.28$8.12
09-07 17:44Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5$90.00
09-07 17:40Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.8$338.18
09-06 17:31Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.963$52.00
09-03 16:25Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.953$25.48
08-25 14:44US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh BasavareddyBUY0.54$54.00
08-20 16:20Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)BUY0.38$1.90
08-16 13:57Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0720206457$29.02
08-16 13:54Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.022$2.57
08-13 23:20Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.017$5.29