PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ymbetzzz

0xcd61a4fb38235046a3e3863efe565bfd2af90002

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
368
Open portfolio
$10.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded368
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9110.847$3.0k−$226.63
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0100.013$1.5k+$393.71
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4920.423$1.2k−$200.89
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9500.976$976.00+$26.00
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.5780.725$750.59+$152.59
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0180.024$589.97+$131.94
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8700.930$576.60+$37.20
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9060.799$559.30−$74.90
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9400.910$455.25−$14.75
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9450.967$430.21+$9.79
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.3830.240$360.00−$215.00
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.1670.210$153.24+$31.35
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8700.890$121.75+$2.74
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4120.345$84.65−$16.47
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0180.011$51.76−$36.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 18:17Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.958047619$100.59
10-26 17:39Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.078$2.30
10-24 15:21Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.07$2.10
10-24 14:29Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.027$0.27
10-24 14:24Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.167$69.19
10-17 16:07Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 3.5BUY0.71$17.75
10-17 16:06Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 4.5BUY0.86$6.79
10-17 11:33Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.73$20.80
10-14 00:00Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.44$17.42
10-13 23:34Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.012$9.43
10-10 16:31Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.963$9.63
10-08 11:40Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0189403048$33.33
10-06 22:39Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?BUY0.18$3.60
10-05 19:02Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri LeheckaBUY0.24$97.20
10-04 22:04Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Liam DraxlBUY0.58$85.59