ymbetzzz
0xcd61a4fb38235046a3e3863efe565bfd2af90002
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 329
- Open portfolio
- $17.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded329
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.250Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals
- +$1.1kat 0.150Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-12?
- +$1.1kat 0.019Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$988.98at 0.505Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals
- +$927.55at 0.226Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:27 | Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.18 | $12.12 |
| 09-14 20:23 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.194 | $36.27 |
| 09-14 00:18 | Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.16 | $5.33 |
| 09-11 11:00 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.97 | $388.00 |
| 09-09 12:21 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7 | $273.06 |
| 09-09 12:12 | Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.12 |
| 09-07 17:44 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5 | $90.00 |
| 09-07 17:40 | Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8 | $338.18 |
| 09-06 17:31 | Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.963 | $52.00 |
| 09-03 16:25 | Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.953 | $25.48 |
| 08-25 14:44 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 08-20 16:20 | Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-16 13:57 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0720206457 | $29.02 |
| 08-16 13:54 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.57 |
| 08-13 23:20 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $5.29 |