PolyBot

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Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.24. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.20 to 0.24. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.25509509
0.3020529
0.32100629
0.33260889
0.351291,017
0.48161,033
0.53161,049
0.59961,146
0.60161,161
0.6761,167
0.75161,183
0.925321,715

Spread0.01Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2422
0.222325
0.21308333
0.2060393
0.19427820
0.173121,131
0.153,5904,721
0.144155,136
0.131,0026,139
0.121586,296
0.095206,816
0.085757,391

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7622
0.782325
0.79308333
0.8060393
0.81427820
0.833121,131
0.853,5904,721
0.864155,136
0.871,0026,139
0.881586,296
0.915206,816
0.925757,391

Spread0.01Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.75509509
0.7020529
0.68100629
0.67260889
0.651291,017
0.52161,033
0.47161,049
0.41961,146
0.40161,161
0.3361,167
0.25161,183
0.085321,715

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
cowcatYes9,105.9
aenews2Yes4,221.18
notssf3Yes2,621.39
Zachattack500Yes1,990.88
DirkDiggler67Yes1,401.23
asdasdasdasdasdasdasdYes1,129
shinramyvnYes1,035.17
tangoraYes1,000
0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86Yes966.19
0x9182AB8157689Aa8Fdb58aEcA518e3fbEd0b3368-1768191988443Yes648.69
ChocomateoYes623.17
bernardbulletinYes620.76
ChandariaYes593.98
0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731Yes528.52
NewshoundYes350
0xe004e9f42772668f46D763aA389D134d9fC47849-1761948701115Yes332.11
boro2026Yes298.32
SeanElevenYes200.76
shiifooYes199.75
VolsteadYes195.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:19:13BUYNo0.75999987943$2.52
17:37:52BUYNo0.76400$304.00
16:58:52BUYYes0.2410$2.40
15:20:36BUYYes0.2520$5.00
08:44:03BUYYes0.2520$5.00
08:40:39BUYYes0.2520$5.00
21:39:09SELLNo0.758$6.00
18:30:28SELLNo0.759910802810$7.67
15:59:52BUYYes0.229999989110$2.32
00:22:51SELLYes0.2116$3.36
18:40:54SELLYes0.2220$4.40
12:21:21SELLYes0.2114$2.99
11:29:43SELLYes0.223498424122$4.96
15:31:36BUYYes0.2413$3.00
15:31:18BUYYes0.239999998142$10.00
15:31:07BUYYes0.2323090226194$45.00
15:29:27SELLYes0.1954743169183$35.77
15:27:51BUYYes0.2194617289186$40.77
15:24:33BUYYes0.2178756503283$61.67
15:23:00SELLYes0.19243$46.17
13:43:01BUYYes0.211$2.17
18:32:09SELLNo0.849$39.20
07:25:27SELLYes0.222$4.40
04:25:46SELLYes0.210$2.04
20:30:52BUYYes0.20159999846$1.20