PolyBot

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Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.29. up 0.06 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.23 to 0.55. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.321010
0.33616
0.34125142
0.35281423
0.366961,119
0.393451,464
0.40251,489
0.451001,589
0.7541,592
0.848892,481
0.857,67810,159
0.865,11315,272

Spread0.04Mid0.30

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.281515
0.2797112
0.262,8152,927
0.252,0965,023
0.2385,031
0.20255,056
0.1835,058
0.161985,256
0.141,6766,932
0.131,0027,934
0.121588,092
0.1168,098

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.721515
0.7397112
0.742,8152,927
0.752,0965,023
0.7785,031
0.80255,056
0.8235,058
0.841985,256
0.861,6766,932
0.871,0027,934
0.881588,092
0.8968,098

Spread0.04Mid0.70

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.681010
0.67616
0.66125142
0.65281423
0.646961,119
0.613451,464
0.60251,489
0.551001,589
0.2541,592
0.168892,481
0.157,67810,159
0.145,11315,272

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
cowcatYes9,105.9
notssf3Yes9,073.37
aenews2Yes4,221.18
Zachattack500Yes1,990.88
DirkDiggler67Yes1,401.23
asdasdasdasdasdasdasdYes1,129
tangoraYes1,000
ChocomateoYes623.17
bernardbulletinYes620.76
0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731Yes528.52
NewshoundYes350
0xe004e9f42772668f46D763aA389D134d9fC47849-1761948701115Yes332.11
0x97b457Ae08fc1041f3d5ca833a668B9471d5d794-1783066720036Yes315.03
boro2026Yes298.32
xtxpleasecallmeYes237.85
SeanElevenYes200.76
VolsteadYes195.34
0x25fc…dd0dYes194
PraescientiaYes176.35
0x6adaE7acafe1EA2b5a5FD62075278d91b5A7F987-1771535559166Yes150

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:31:57BUYYes0.3210$3.20
22:31:43BUYYes0.3210$3.20
22:31:01BUYYes0.3210$3.20
22:30:51BUYYes0.3210$3.20
18:28:34BUYNo0.725$3.60
18:28:34BUYNo0.7121660031$1.00
16:08:04BUYNo0.6715$10.05
11:56:24BUYYes0.349999986619$6.54
15:48:36BUYYes0.3525$8.75
15:48:30BUYYes0.344856703710$3.50
11:21:33SELLNo0.65125$81.33
10:24:24SELLNo0.653$2.09
10:24:22SELLNo0.65354$229.98
10:23:54BUYYes0.35100$35.00
02:15:54BUYYes0.3529$10.15
02:15:54BUYYes0.35100$35.00
00:58:16BUYYes0.357$2.45
00:58:15BUYYes0.339999991330$10.19
00:58:12BUYYes0.3586$30.10
00:58:06BUYYes0.3519$6.65
00:58:06BUYYes0.35100$35.00
00:58:06BUYYes0.3538$13.30
18:16:07BUYNo0.6536$23.40
17:26:25BUYNo0.6612911585103$68.34
17:26:24BUYNo0.629999986927$17.28