Volstead
0xa18a79700cbac9be3a44e46a351e9f7b8934ebdc
- Realised P&L
- $270.71
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $438.78
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.00at 0.100Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$112.24at 0.580 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$68.15at 0.268Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
- +$57.89at 0.206Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
- +$54.17at 0.316US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 11:12 | Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $4.06 |
| 09-30 19:08 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 19:08 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1032270655 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 18:01 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999985 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 18:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.92 | $11.79 |
| 09-07 18:03 | Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? | BUY | 0.0739371534 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 17:59 | Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.1360020826 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 17:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.52 | $37.14 |
| 08-25 18:42 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0431341527 | $3.00 |
| 08-25 18:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.349999993 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 16:31 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.85 |
| 08-06 16:31 | Waymo IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0312903397 | $5.32 |
| 08-06 16:31 | Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $15.53 |
| 07-19 13:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.408 | $34.57 |
| 07-02 11:44 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |