PolyBot

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Traders

Volstead

0xa18a79700cbac9be3a44e46a351e9f7b8934ebdc

Realised P&L
$270.71
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$438.78

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 11:12Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?SELL0.06$4.06
09-30 19:08Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2699999988$25.00
09-30 19:08Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1032270655$25.00
09-21 18:01NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999985$25.00
09-21 18:00Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.92$11.79
09-07 18:03Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?BUY0.0739371534$5.00
09-07 17:59Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.1360020826$50.00
08-28 17:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.52$37.14
08-25 18:42Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0431341527$3.00
08-25 18:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.349999993$25.00
08-06 16:31OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.15$3.85
08-06 16:31Waymo IPO before 2027?SELL0.0312903397$5.32
08-06 16:31Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?SELL0.07$15.53
07-19 13:41Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.408$34.57
07-02 11:44Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.1099999913$10.00