PolyBot

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Traders

0xe004e9f42772668f46D763aA389D134d9fC47849-1761948701115

0xe004e9f42772668f46d763aa389d134d9fc47849

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$54.1k
Markets traded
387
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded387
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · No0.7690.845$341.62+$30.77
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No0.6900.790$250.66+$31.67
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · No0.6800.835$236.83+$44.03
Will New Hampshire have the closest Senate race in 2026? · No0.8900.933$230.51+$10.51
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4920.645$219.39+$51.91
Will BP be acquired before 2027? · No0.8200.971$213.39+$33.09
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather0.5290.505$210.11$9.92
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? · No0.6540.845$207.47+$46.81
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? · No0.4820.935$197.36+$95.70
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · No0.4400.860$187.40+$91.52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4450.504$153.97+$18.29
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? · No0.8670.967$144.93+$14.93
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3400.240$125.27$51.93
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.7750.973$121.43+$24.68
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.3880.355$120.72$11.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 02:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
09-01 15:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
09-01 15:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
09-01 15:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-30 17:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899999951$3.00
08-29 15:24Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2SELL0.42$3.86
08-29 15:22Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.4899999695$4.50
08-29 15:21Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.5396114428$109.43
08-29 15:17Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.5199999882$5.30
08-29 15:15Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.5185227251$105.30
08-29 15:14Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.7799999938$20.00
08-16 15:54Tom Holland as Spider-Man?BUY0.5283742294$65.00
08-16 15:53Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4105308405$17.00
08-16 15:51Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.615998607$45.00
08-07 16:24Will Notre Dame be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?BUY0.2299999793$7.00