0xe004e9f42772668f46D763aA389D134d9fC47849-1761948701115
0xe004e9f42772668f46d763aa389d134d9fc47849
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $54.1k
- Markets traded
- 387
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded387
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.349Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$502.78at 0.454Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$256.12at 0.214Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$191.51at 0.490Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
- +$187.95at 0.194Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 02:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 15:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 15:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 15:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 17:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 15:24 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | SELL | 0.42 | $3.86 |
| 08-29 15:22 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | BUY | 0.4899999695 | $4.50 |
| 08-29 15:21 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | BUY | 0.5396114428 | $109.43 |
| 08-29 15:17 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | BUY | 0.5199999882 | $5.30 |
| 08-29 15:15 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | BUY | 0.5185227251 | $105.30 |
| 08-29 15:14 | Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 08-16 15:54 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.5283742294 | $65.00 |
| 08-16 15:53 | Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4105308405 | $17.00 |
| 08-16 15:51 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.615998607 | $45.00 |
| 08-07 16:24 | Will Notre Dame be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season? | BUY | 0.2299999793 | $7.00 |