PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Zachattack500

0x4cf2bb5b3898467f5002288a956b6f638b90e31c

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$255.2k
Markets traded
364
Open portfolio
$5.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded364
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? · No0.8060.890$1.2k+$108.56
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · No0.8300.855$912.92+$26.92
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.6340.310$891.21$930.45
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6620.670$825.05+$9.15
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.2770.475$810.32+$337.37
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3370.315$236.03$16.75
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? · No0.1430.200$124.91+$35.34
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0400.045$78.34+$8.70
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.4480.410$77.44$7.25
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2080.185$69.96$8.61
Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election? · No0.8410.998$53.62+$8.46
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$52.85$20.66
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2890.033$51.80$408.80
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.0800.090$45.34+$5.04
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0590.077$32.90+$7.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 20:51Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.6684307853$212.94
08-01 20:49Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?BUY0.8159629113$242.54
08-01 20:48Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?BUY0.8031478583$800.33
08-01 20:46Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the top album for 2026?BUY0.0107653997$2.52
08-01 20:44Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?BUY0.4483857346$84.69
08-01 20:42Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.15$68.80
08-01 20:42Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.9291951696$1.3k
07-30 19:21Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?BUY0.1434141862$89.57
07-30 19:19Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.16$93.28
07-30 13:45Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?SELL0.06$3.00
07-30 13:35Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.008$2.32
07-30 13:33Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.008$1.37
07-30 13:23Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0179999954$3.86
07-30 13:13Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.0844374467$10.14
07-30 13:04Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0179999881$1.50