bernardbulletin
0x1c144e30f405a25f991cbd8baa15d40599090869
- Realised P&L
- $205.9k
- Volume
- $5.46M
- Markets traded
- 1,998
- Open portfolio
- $195.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,998
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.695Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$9.7kat 0.404Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$8.4kat 0.595Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
- +$7.9kat 0.154Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$7.6kat 0.375Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:02 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 20:00 | Will Trump say "Midterm" in August? | BUY | 0.9499782609 | $436.99 |
| 08-01 20:00 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August? | BUY | 0.9515833333 | $91.35 |
| 08-01 19:59 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August? | BUY | 0.945741112 | $214.14 |
| 08-01 19:58 | Will Trump say "Sucker" in August? | BUY | 0.1495413778 | $23.51 |
| 08-01 19:57 | Will Trump say "Shit" in August? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 08-01 19:57 | Will Trump say "Ass" in August? | BUY | 0.7086092715 | $107.00 |
| 08-01 19:57 | Will Trump say "No No No" in August? | BUY | 0.84 | $328.12 |
| 08-01 18:54 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $622.13 |
| 08-01 18:28 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2156463775 | $37.98 |
| 08-01 18:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2396027977 | $35.11 |
| 08-01 18:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $578.00 |
| 08-01 18:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $128.31 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.235 | $24.43 |