bernardbulletin
0x1c144e30f405a25f991cbd8baa15d40599090869
- Realised P&L
- $208.6k
- Volume
- $5.93M
- Markets traded
- 2,261
- Open portfolio
- $197.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,261
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.7kat 0.004Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$9.7kat 0.695Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$9.5kat 0.409Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$8.4kat 0.595Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
- +$7.9kat 0.154Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:24 | Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.6112203449 | $211.26 |
| 09-17 00:16 | Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $961.54 |
| 09-16 17:59 | Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.636196319 | $103.70 |
| 09-16 17:59 | Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.3596631409 | $53.38 |
| 09-16 17:23 | Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9606774194 | $89.34 |
| 09-16 17:22 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9561162725 | $681.69 |
| 09-16 12:51 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.954 | $114.80 |
| 09-16 12:49 | Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $480.77 |
| 09-16 12:48 | Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $517.06 |
| 09-15 22:45 | Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.0058086207 | $3.41 |
| 09-15 22:44 | Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.0039348314 | $4.65 |
| 09-15 21:38 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $88.05 |
| 09-15 21:36 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $73.53 |
| 09-15 21:36 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.3k |
| 09-15 21:21 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.983 | $9.83 |