PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Chocomateo

0xe09164df34a5e685f9051e82a50aa4e5646f163f

Realised P&L
$22.02
Volume
$119.6k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.5490.845$462.05+$162.05
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0630.060$425.31$18.09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1190.080$167.47$82.53
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0370.116$155.72+$105.72
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.2980.245$152.68$33.32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3100.305$152.50$2.50
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.5800.815$140.52+$40.52
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.033$72.82+$22.82
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2460.160$65.04$34.96
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0300.034$55.83+$5.83
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.011$28.00$12.00
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? · Yes0.4120.230$23.44$18.58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.225$23.44$26.56
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0160.004$14.06$35.94
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.2440.255$12.01+$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:16Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.076047619$7.98
09-17 19:14Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.25$5.00
09-17 17:10Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.06$29.94
09-17 17:05Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.059$10.62
09-17 17:022026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.31$155.00
09-17 16:59Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.21$1.49
09-17 16:58Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.24$2.40
09-17 16:57Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.08$100.00
09-17 16:50Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.058$5.80
05-30 08:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?BUY0.2399999986$100.00
05-30 04:26Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$30.00
05-30 04:20Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY0.4199999933$20.00
05-30 04:19Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY0.0200253909$30.00
05-30 00:11Canadiens vs. HurricanesBUY0.3$30.00
05-28 23:23Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY0.4599999958$50.00