PolyBot

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Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.151. up 0.053 over the period, from 0.098. Range 0.097 to 0.512. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.155190190
0.16178268
0.18873342
0.26520361
0.26645406
0.331125531
0.33250581
0.33430611
0.33565676
0.34175751
0.34360811
0.35575886

Spread0.008Mid0.151

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.147382382
0.146210592
0.145120712
0.14348760
0.13625785
0.130128913
0.12027940
0.10021961
0.09120981
0.0762983
0.054201,003
0.05391,012

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.853382382
0.854210592
0.855120712
0.85748760
0.86425785
0.870128913
0.88027940
0.90021961
0.90920981
0.9242983
0.946201,003
0.94791,012

Spread0.008Mid0.849

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.845190190
0.83978268
0.81273342
0.73520361
0.73445406
0.669125531
0.66850581
0.66630611
0.66565676
0.65975751
0.65760811
0.64575886

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes384.21
DuneMentatYes332.03
StanleyGaoYes299.99
singularitymanYes299.35
linethYes189.41
LornaPredictsYes145.55
S888Yes96
wallet-account-testYes59
gooseknuckleYes36.42
ogi250Yes23
nigletteYes20
gaut6375Yes20
Hugin-og-MuninYes20
KickstandBotYes20
LucerysYes19.82
PPMTYes19.69
GingerMcKennaYes11.96
DesmondoYes11.29
e46m3Yes10.03
ddaasdfYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:53:48SELLYes0.1329$1.25
00:14:25BUYYes0.31599999629$3.00
00:14:24BUYYes0.17942$7.52
23:16:03BUYYes0.16861$10.25
22:35:57SELLNo0.83220$16.63
14:36:57SELLYes0.13421$2.84
05:21:10SELLNo0.8120$0.15
05:12:28BUYNo0.7910$7.90
05:12:28BUYNo0.789999996825$20.00
05:12:28BUYNo0.789999991210$8.05
03:10:36SELLNo0.78420$15.52
03:05:52BUYNo0.786999993725$20.00
03:05:49BUYNo0.78730$23.61
23:18:27BUYNo0.787999991120$15.60
23:17:54BUYNo0.787247474720$15.59
23:09:39BUYNo0.7875$3.94
23:09:21BUYNo0.78810$7.88
22:18:12BUYNo0.86$4.60
21:47:57BUYNo0.70220$14.04
21:42:46BUYYes0.26820$5.36
20:43:22BUYYes0.298142$42.32
09:53:25SELLNo0.76861$46.85
23:45:18SELLNo0.8410$8.40
17:53:48SELLNo0.8423$2.53
17:53:41BUYYes0.1558$1.24