PolyBot

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Traders

gooseknuckle

0x833b72313c9af8086118ecf9c67d763a3fc4d4bb

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$161.7k
Markets traded
826
Open portfolio
$443.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded826
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:04Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.81$25.28
10-31 20:31Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.6119999955$50.00
10-31 20:25Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.995$50.65
10-31 20:24Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.82$17.06
10-30 20:17Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.995$139.30
10-26 22:532026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.65$51.58
10-26 22:53Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.82$68.23
10-25 22:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6199999715$10.00
10-23 14:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.766$43.55
10-19 02:00Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.1372845097$5.00
10-19 02:00Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.3279999879$5.00
10-19 02:00Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.3839999803$5.00
10-16 14:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7629999952$30.00
10-16 14:36Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.879782964$55.98
10-16 00:12Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7959999963$40.00