ogi250
0x33739438875aee79e98a26f87320d984f0703716
- Realised P&L
- $330.91
- Volume
- $245.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,838
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,838
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.74at 0.863Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$86.38at 0.455Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
- +$79.55at 0.191Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
- +$72.20at 0.808Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$59.90at 0.717Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:04 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.943 | $4.39 |
| 08-03 08:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $8.62 |
| 08-03 07:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.09 |
| 08-03 04:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $12.71 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $23.67 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.33 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.8655087209 | $17.86 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $21.40 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $21.08 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.436926387 | $28.43 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.44 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.4629532888 | $4.86 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.462 | $4.87 |
| 08-02 18:54 | Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.23 |
| 08-02 17:50 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.446 | $4.71 |