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Traders

Desmondo

0x995124fa5327c85e0287aec9be76bc6e7ecc8e1f

Realised P&L
$-10.92
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$15.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.989$10.28+$0.28
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.0880.151$1.70+$0.70
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4800.705$1.47+$0.47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8400.945$1.12+$0.12
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3200.310$0.97−$0.03
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.041$0.45−$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 01:15Will Trump visit Greenland by September 30?BUY0.98$1.00
09-03 06:43Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.088593577$1.00
09-03 04:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3?BUY0.92$1.00
09-03 04:47Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
09-03 04:45Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
04-10 03:30Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7099994391$1.00
04-05 22:10Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.8$1.00
04-05 22:09Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.949999525$1.00
04-05 22:08Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
04-05 22:05Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?BUY0.9489999763$1.00
03-27 04:40Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
03-26 02:52Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
03-26 02:51Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.84$1.00
03-08 06:27Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.962$10.00
03-06 20:55US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
Trader Desmondo · PolyBot Pro