KickstandBot
0xca1f9b9d67d947c8007d9814e8f9d6045cccd282
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $817.4k
- Markets traded
- 14,023
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,023
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$797.22at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 5?
- +$451.00at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?
- +$396.40at 0.104Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$382.32at 0.010Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$351.00at 0.227WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.33 | $23.76 |
| 10-23 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 23? | BUY | 0.833 | $91.63 |
| 10-23 17:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.40 |
| 10-23 17:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $99.84 |
| 10-23 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 23? | BUY | 0.85 | $68.85 |
| 10-23 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 24? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.75 |
| 10-23 16:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.7 | $17.50 |
| 10-23 16:46 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $27.86 |
| 10-23 16:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.41 | $9.02 |
| 10-23 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.43 | $46.44 |
| 10-23 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.93 | $58.59 |
| 10-23 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.74 | $39.22 |
| 10-23 16:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.74 | $9.62 |
| 10-23 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |