PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KickstandBot

0xca1f9b9d67d947c8007d9814e8f9d6045cccd282

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$817.4k
Markets traded
14,023
Open portfolio
$8.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14,023
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1411.000$2.6k+$2.2k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.2291.000$837.00+$645.53
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 19 2026? · No0.3101.000$322.00+$222.18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 22? · Yes0.2801.000$216.00+$155.52
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? · Yes0.1401.000$199.00+$171.14
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? · No0.5201.000$180.00+$86.40
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23? · No0.6001.000$125.31+$50.12
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · Yes0.8201.000$121.00+$21.78
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 23? · No0.8901.000$112.00+$12.32
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.2300.255$110.67+$10.85
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 23? · No0.8331.000$110.00+$18.37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 23? · No0.9031.000$110.00+$10.67
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24? · No0.4301.000$108.00+$61.56
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4100.935$107.44+$60.33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4200.715$107.25+$44.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 18:02Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?BUY0.33$23.76
10-23 17:51Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 23?BUY0.833$91.63
10-23 17:41Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 25?BUY0.47$2.40
10-23 17:31Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?BUY0.52$99.84
10-23 17:26Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 23?BUY0.85$68.85
10-23 16:57Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 24?BUY0.5$5.75
10-23 16:46Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 24?BUY0.7$17.50
10-23 16:46Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?BUY0.14$27.86
10-23 16:42Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 25?BUY0.5$10.00
10-23 16:40Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 24?BUY0.41$9.02
10-23 16:37Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?BUY0.43$46.44
10-23 16:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 24?BUY0.93$58.59
10-23 16:31Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 24?BUY0.74$39.22
10-23 16:16Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 25?BUY0.74$9.62
10-23 15:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 25?BUY0.82$16.40