PolyBot

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Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.024. up 0.006 over the period, from 0.018. Range 0.017 to 0.028. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0269393
0.027671764
0.0288,6249,388
0.0291389,527
0.0301009,627
0.0333089,934
0.03516610,100
0.03681510,915
0.03750011,415
0.04420011,615
0.04621011,824
0.04880012,624

Spread0.005Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0219,1999,199
0.0203009,499
0.0194009,899
0.01856110,460
0.01769511,155
0.01639511,551
0.01455512,106
0.01339412,500
0.01268213,182
0.0113,25416,437
0.01060017,037
0.00955617,592

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9799,1999,199
0.9803009,499
0.9814009,899
0.98256110,460
0.98369511,155
0.98439511,551
0.98655512,106
0.98739412,500
0.98868213,182
0.9893,25416,437
0.99060017,037
0.99155617,592

Spread0.005Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9749393
0.973671764
0.9728,6249,388
0.9711389,527
0.9701009,627
0.9673089,934
0.96516610,100
0.96481510,915
0.96350011,415
0.95620011,615
0.95421011,824
0.95280012,624

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DancewithRiskYes8,392.08
suoha518Yes5,003.06
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes4,331
planktonXDYes415.19
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVFYes387.46
Hugin-og-MuninYes360
TougeYes231.85
LornaPredictsYes224.17
thecaricatureYes218.64
0xC91b7D9F4464C9985f5621493829ahdfcYes154.62
MorrasYes130
cry.eth2Yes116
Sir-Deadlock-a-LotYes109.89
fiterYes100.51
0x7c44900F352Cf62b690B22f10202D3E023ecf27f-1779007268275Yes99.24
himkenYes93
S888Yes80.96
xvc347yYes76.92
AJSVYes50.06
mustbethewaterYes33.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:21:16SELLYes0.02283$1.83
09:13:10BUYNo0.97810$9.78
21:24:30BUYNo0.97984$82.12
21:15:43BUYNo0.978198259484$82.05
21:13:09BUYNo0.97833$32.03
16:48:46SELLYes0.02661$1.59
15:50:46SELLNo0.973100$97.30
20:46:31SELLYes0.0231$0.02
20:46:31SELLYes0.0231$0.02
20:46:28BUYYes0.02540$1.00
20:46:27BUYYes0.02540$1.00
20:39:49SELLYes0.0232$0.04
20:39:48SELLYes0.0231$0.03
20:39:46BUYYes0.02570$1.75
20:39:45BUYYes0.024767714370$1.73
20:39:31BUYYes0.02370$1.61
20:39:28BUYYes0.02370$1.61
20:39:10SELLYes0.023118$2.70
16:55:27BUYNo0.97710$9.77
14:00:04BUYNo0.97730$29.31
14:00:04BUYNo0.97752$50.83
14:00:03BUYNo0.97718$17.56
12:41:00BUYYes0.02460$1.44
11:43:57BUYNo0.97713$12.51
11:43:57BUYNo0.977100$97.70