suoha518
0x29bb1aeb34e2cd7e5b1882fd388c7f91212ef0f4
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $224.0k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.47at 0.168Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
- +$25.13at 0.237Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
- +$21.48at 0.742Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- +$13.15at 0.140Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
- +$7.95at 0.898Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:18 | Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.25 |
| 09-14 18:08 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2607274261 | $593.38 |
| 09-14 10:59 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.18 | $26.10 |
| 09-14 10:59 | Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.2 | $49.30 |
| 09-14 10:56 | Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.49 |
| 09-13 16:29 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.3083384511 | $126.72 |
| 09-13 07:38 | Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.88 |
| 09-12 17:45 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $103.02 |
| 09-12 06:22 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2747089231 | $26.78 |
| 09-12 06:22 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2419262837 | $133.24 |
| 09-12 06:18 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.2696328811 | $168.93 |
| 09-11 20:58 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-11 20:46 | Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0571564609 | $18.63 |
| 09-11 20:45 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0181157544 | $2.83 |
| 09-11 20:45 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0127276434 | $2.37 |