PolyBot

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Traders

Sir-Deadlock-a-Lot

0x0b2550e4a9b45e058d47ed8c2058f1bb4ce2439f

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
314
Open portfolio
$139.84

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded314
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3320.465$74.44+$21.27
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.084$15.78$6.96
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.170$11.70+$2.75
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.105$10.04$1.43
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0600.675$6.75+$6.16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0950.041$6.28$8.45
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0460.050$3.09+$0.22
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1330.025$2.69$11.95
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.2560.032$2.36$16.84
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0500.004$1.42$18.93
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0600.013$1.33$4.57
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0900.081$1.22$0.14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0190.010$0.95$0.85
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4150.005$0.85$63.28
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0640.035$0.73$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 07:50Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?SELL0.26$5.20
09-06 07:50Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?SELL0.1$8.02
09-06 07:50Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?SELL0.144$2.88
09-06 07:50Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?SELL0.43$30.10
09-06 07:49Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.001$0.12
09-06 07:49Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.001$0.12
09-06 07:49Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.001$0.12
09-06 07:49Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.004$0.48
09-06 07:48Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.929$112.28
05-04 09:24Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.576802558$14.43
05-04 09:18Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.41$3.28
05-04 09:15Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.4$10.64
05-04 09:12Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.4$2.55
05-02 14:22Will Toulon win?BUY0.87$87.00
05-02 14:19Will the match end in a draw?BUY0.0487309645$0.96