PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Morras

0x7ab8c3e47918594e48b9b50c94d2cdf19d3565db

Realised P&L
$-46.96
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$325.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · No0.7550.973$194.50+$43.50
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.7800.991$79.28+$16.88
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1140.040$8.05$15.18
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1860.031$7.97$39.89
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1360.100$5.50$2.00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0480.240$4.81+$3.85
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1040.100$3.98$0.18
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0190.018$3.60$0.26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1580.024$3.12$17.38
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0870.011$2.57$17.82
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0440.007$2.54$13.45
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0210.005$1.84$5.15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0960.007$1.65$21.11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0140.007$1.40$1.40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0880.028$1.38$3.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 09:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.196$4.60
06-27 10:04Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.034$0.68
06-15 14:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.021$1.05
06-15 14:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
06-13 14:20Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.144$1.44
06-13 14:20Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.84$8.40
06-13 10:01Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.108$1.74
06-13 09:55Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.144$2.16
06-13 09:54Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.194$2.24
06-13 08:39Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.027$0.14
06-13 08:37Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.026$1.24
06-13 08:34Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.19$5.22
06-12 18:05Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.142$2.84
06-12 12:42Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.14$2.10
06-11 18:35Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.14$2.80