PolyBot

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Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.09. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.07 to 0.38. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.091,3751,375
0.109,24510,620
0.113,14513,765
0.1280014,565
0.7351915,084
0.742,48117,564
0.759,03226,596
0.7641627,012
0.792,50029,512
0.8080030,312
0.815,47935,791
0.829,00044,791

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.084,1294,129
0.077,42611,555
0.068,40319,959
0.056,29426,252
0.049,75036,002
0.034,88740,889
0.0210,72951,619
0.0115,46367,082

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.924,1294,129
0.937,42611,555
0.948,40319,959
0.956,29426,252
0.969,75036,002
0.974,88740,889
0.9810,72951,619
0.9915,46367,082

Spread0.01Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.911,3751,375
0.909,24510,620
0.893,14513,765
0.8880014,565
0.2751915,084
0.262,48117,564
0.259,03226,596
0.2441627,012
0.212,50029,512
0.2080030,312
0.195,47935,791
0.189,00044,791

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Logan.Yes10,000
nelsonc19Yes3,999.99
peterfromfamilyguyYes3,585.68
NoSteinNoGateYes1,459.86
BabyGrootYes528.79
xtxpleasecallmeYes330.13
42012Yes298.64
darthvanger1Yes207.75
lissartterYes205.64
JJoyce1904Yes200
0xF01460d766368e13004F0488CedFD8a7e9a1a7Cd-1772188014237Yes130
Simi11Yes125
0xe723…ebd2Yes111.11
NotlarsaYes62.5
Elias.ThornwellYes53.81
sm-02Yes33.25
PPMTYes20
tumenskiyYes15.28
adsfasdf113Yes10
commeowderYes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:05:28BUYYes0.09625$56.25
11:47:34BUYYes0.0899999993111$10.00
06:24:42BUYNo0.92145$133.31
06:24:39BUYNo0.9272$66.65
04:06:46SELLNo0.9133$30.33
03:44:03BUYNo0.91999993385$5.00
03:42:39BUYNo0.9262$57.04
03:42:39BUYNo0.91999986344$4.04
03:42:37BUYNo0.92200$184.00
03:42:37BUYNo0.911,449$1318.65
00:23:54SELLNo0.91$0.96
19:11:40SELLYes0.0820$1.58
18:05:55BUYNo0.90999980593$3.00
16:50:51BUYYes0.09433$38.97
15:02:13BUYNo0.91100$90.67
05:40:22SELLNo0.91138$125.90
00:00:37BUYNo0.91635$577.65
22:23:48BUYNo0.9061569876291$263.90
22:23:46BUYNo0.8925462963216$192.79
22:23:46BUYNo0.891,074$955.47
22:06:42SELLYes0.1110$1.10
20:09:22SELLYes0.11216$23.72
20:06:04BUYNo0.910$9.00
20:05:19SELLNo0.8810$8.80
19:21:46BUYYes0.11210$23.10