0xF01460d766368e13004F0488CedFD8a7e9a1a7Cd-1772188014237
0xf01460d766368e13004f0488cedfd8a7e9a1a7cd
- Realised P&L
- $370.94
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $412.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.65at 0.019US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$87.24at 0.100US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$27.54at 0.260US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$24.26at 0.143Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
- +$21.51at 0.389Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 07:46 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 07-15 12:57 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 12:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 07-14 12:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 07-13 15:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 07-08 18:57 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.64 |
| 07-08 09:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July? | BUY | 0.28 | $0.40 |
| 07-08 08:47 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.59 |
| 07-06 19:57 | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.126 | $0.63 |
| 06-29 17:43 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9722941176 | $16.53 |
| 06-26 15:23 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.44 |
| 06-24 18:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 06-23 13:47 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 06-23 13:38 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 06-23 13:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |