PolyBot

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Traders

Notlarsa

0x17924d7fe35ab9707ccd826d0e27b25c9ca61ba6

Realised P&L
$-0.88
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$57.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 19:52Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
10-13 19:51Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
10-13 19:50Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.08$5.00
10-13 19:48Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.2569169889$5.00
10-13 19:45Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?BUY0.2699999966$4.00
10-13 19:45Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-13 19:44Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.299999994$5.00
10-13 19:42Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-13 19:42Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-13 19:42Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?BUY0.25$1.00
10-13 19:37Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.483$40.79
09-09 20:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-09 20:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.3699999867$5.00
09-09 20:14Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.597$5.97
07-15 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.3799999012$1.00