Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://lmarena.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.34. down 0.33 over the period, from 0.67. Range 0.28 to 0.73. 148 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.59	35	35
0.60	150	185
0.66	21	206
0.69	40	246
0.71	28	273
0.72	20	293
0.78	45	338
0.86	8	347
0.87	384	731
0.88	1,323	2,054
0.89	5	2,059
0.90	6	2,065

Spread0.49Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	113	113
0.09	44	157
0.08	50	207
0.07	138	345
0.06	130	475
0.05	165	640
0.04	5	645
0.03	10	655
0.02	19	674
0.01	109	783

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	113	113
0.91	44	157
0.92	50	207
0.93	138	345
0.94	130	475
0.95	165	640
0.96	5	645
0.97	10	655
0.98	19	674
0.99	109	783

Spread0.49Mid0.66

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.41	35	35
0.40	150	185
0.34	21	206
0.31	40	246
0.29	28	273
0.28	20	293
0.22	45	338
0.14	8	347
0.13	384	731
0.12	1,323	2,054
0.11	5	2,059
0.10	6	2,065

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Investnow	Yes	4,925.48
conherence	Yes	645.76
big-short	Yes	554.82
cat6767	Yes	524.5
luish	Yes	478.91
thursdays	Yes	421.18
molodoyy	Yes	349.99
0x34a42279AD	Yes	234.68
SingletonFamilyFund	Yes	200
dudukos	Yes	129.22
JustBot	Yes	122
libratus1	Yes	113.83
jennylulu2016	Yes	94
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	74.43
0xdoqwkp12	Yes	43.74
0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657	Yes	40
0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329	Yes	40
moroder	Yes	30.23
zo8w3jj69vtb2	Yes	30
senoritaawesome	Yes	27.33

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:59:43	BUY	Yes	0.43	7	$2.86
17:00:33	BUY	Yes	0.43	13	$5.65
13:22:16	BUY	No	0.7023056308	285	$200.00
14:49:22	SELL	Yes	0.2779506831	90	$25.02
14:49:19	SELL	Yes	0.56	9	$5.27
14:41:49	BUY	Yes	0.64	6	$4.04
13:54:44	BUY	No	0.44	21	$9.02
13:54:28	SELL	Yes	0.56	6	$3.25
13:54:28	BUY	No	0.4399999776	14	$6.28
13:15:04	SELL	Yes	0.59	26	$15.49
07:58:29	SELL	Yes	0.61	48	$29.49
07:33:08	SELL	Yes	0.61	7	$4.05
07:30:56	SELL	Yes	0.61	5	$3.05
07:29:52	SELL	Yes	0.62	15	$8.99
07:27:26	SELL	Yes	0.68	25	$17.00
07:24:46	SELL	Yes	0.68	5	$3.40
07:16:56	SELL	Yes	0.69	84	$57.88
20:43:38	BUY	Yes	0.69	8	$5.52
20:41:37	BUY	Yes	0.68	30	$20.40
20:37:22	BUY	Yes	0.66	100	$66.00
20:17:07	BUY	Yes	0.6699999934	30	$20.40
20:07:34	BUY	Yes	0.68	31	$21.08
18:53:23	BUY	No	0.38	7	$2.66
18:05:13	BUY	Yes	0.65	30	$19.50
18:05:08	SELL	Yes	0.62	60	$37.19