0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657
0x3606f455cf588c84453f56e749cd15bca4f14e08
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $75.6k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $572.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $3.00 |
| 07-16 20:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $66.66 |
| 07-13 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999931 | $25.00 |
| 07-06 13:10 | Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.1848802144 | $121.39 |
| 07-06 13:08 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | SELL | 0.2224929091 | $200.81 |
| 06-17 15:35 | Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.2505492159 | $37.54 |
| 06-09 11:39 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2767055438 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 11:30 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2753748038 | $200.00 |
| 06-09 11:30 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 06-09 08:52 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $10.80 |
| 06-07 11:15 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |