PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657

0x3606f455cf588c84453f56e749cd15bca4f14e08

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$75.6k
Markets traded
258
Open portfolio
$572.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded258
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7550.867$374.31+$48.06
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0630.555$55.54+$49.20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.1500.545$54.50+$39.50
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · No0.4950.855$51.31+$21.60
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · Yes0.6330.658$24.30+$0.93
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8650.990$10.30+$1.30
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? · No0.7450.955$1.63+$0.36
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0400.009$0.85$3.20
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0890.001$0.03$4.42
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? · Yes0.8520.000$0.00$356.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? · Yes0.7090.000$0.00$35.45
Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$2.28
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.8320.000$0.00$482.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$5.00
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.5690.000$0.00$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.2$5.00
07-16 21:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
07-16 20:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSELL0.66$3.00
07-16 20:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-13 20:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.02$5.00
07-13 20:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSELL0.96$66.66
07-13 20:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.3599999931$25.00
07-06 13:10Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?SELL0.1848802144$121.39
07-06 13:08Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?SELL0.2224929091$200.81
06-17 15:35Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?SELL0.2505492159$37.54
06-09 11:39Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.2767055438$100.00
06-09 11:30Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.2753748038$200.00
06-09 11:30Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
06-09 08:52Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.054$10.80
06-07 11:15Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.38$76.00