PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdoqwkp12

0x0c520452596305b6a05c8ad9c82636330ac9f01f

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$29.6k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8460.972$2.2k+$282.90
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? · No0.7050.934$1.9k+$452.92
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · No0.7870.951$332.94+$57.26
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.1500.810$35.43+$28.87
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · Yes0.7800.145$6.34$27.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-22 16:50Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.92899997$1.86
03-25 15:49Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.039$0.24
03-22 15:20Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:20Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:20Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:19Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:18Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:18Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:18Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:18Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:18Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83
03-22 15:17Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.911999992$1.83