Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-11-08
- Resolves by
- https://elections.nz/
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.057 | 7 | 7 |
| 0.058 | 63 | 70 |
| 0.059 | 24 | 94 |
| 0.060 | 266 | 360 |
| 0.283 | 273 | 633 |
| 0.284 | 30 | 663 |
| 0.349 | 30 | 693 |
| 0.350 | 109 | 802 |
| 0.526 | 30 | 832 |
| 0.617 | 130 | 962 |
| 0.619 | 30 | 992 |
| 0.620 | 250 | 1,242 |
Spread0.048Mid0.033
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.009 | 6 | 6 |
| 0.008 | 7 | 14 |
| 0.007 | 75 | 89 |
| 0.006 | 192 | 281 |
| 0.005 | 267 | 548 |
| 0.004 | 36 | 583 |
| 0.003 | 282 | 865 |
| 0.002 | 520 | 1,385 |
| 0.001 | 999 | 2,384 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.991 | 6 | 6 |
| 0.992 | 7 | 14 |
| 0.993 | 75 | 89 |
| 0.994 | 192 | 281 |
| 0.995 | 267 | 548 |
| 0.996 | 36 | 583 |
| 0.997 | 282 | 865 |
| 0.998 | 520 | 1,385 |
| 0.999 | 999 | 2,384 |
Spread0.048Mid0.967
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.943 | 7 | 7 |
| 0.942 | 63 | 70 |
| 0.941 | 24 | 94 |
| 0.940 | 266 | 360 |
| 0.717 | 273 | 633 |
| 0.716 | 30 | 663 |
| 0.651 | 30 | 693 |
| 0.650 | 109 | 802 |
| 0.474 | 30 | 832 |
| 0.383 | 130 | 962 |
| 0.381 | 30 | 992 |
| 0.380 | 250 | 1,242 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 569.51 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 266.14 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 107.51 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 105.26 |
| ilovecarrots | Yes | 103.79 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 73.93 |
| Fichre | Yes | 50 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 46.58 |
| PPMT | Yes | 45 |
| 86fgh | Yes | 42.07 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 11 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 10.06 |
| superman1998 | Yes | 8 |
| velorot | Yes | 5.28 |
| notrandom2 | Yes | 1.51 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 828.36 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No | 575.48 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| conherence | No | 20 |
| trrr12 | No | 2.24 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:11:15 | BUY | Yes | 0.026 | 20 | $0.52 |
| 17:32:33 | BUY | No | 0.991 | 20 | $19.82 |
| 22:50:40 | BUY | No | 0.988 | 5 | $5.14 |
| 22:16:37 | BUY | No | 0.99 | 7 | $7.03 |
| 22:16:37 | BUY | No | 0.9903515625 | 13 | $12.68 |
| 12:19:42 | BUY | No | 0.976 | 7 | $7.12 |
| 03:34:02 | BUY | No | 0.977 | 6 | $6.16 |
| 07:54:11 | BUY | Yes | 0.039 | 8 | $0.31 |
| 06:37:21 | BUY | No | 0.976 | 20 | $19.52 |
| 14:07:47 | BUY | No | 0.975 | 20 | $19.50 |
| 05:38:05 | BUY | Yes | 0.021 | 15 | $0.31 |
| 05:38:05 | SELL | No | 0.98 | 10 | $9.99 |
| 18:51:00 | BUY | No | 0.994 | 10 | $10.14 |
| 18:51:00 | BUY | No | 0.9926936937 | 33 | $33.06 |
| 12:14:56 | BUY | No | 0.991 | 12 | $11.40 |
| 11:56:24 | BUY | No | 0.989347 | 20 | $19.79 |
| 05:09:03 | BUY | No | 0.984 | 5 | $4.92 |
| 05:09:03 | BUY | No | 0.982395 | 8 | $7.86 |
| 06:05:30 | SELL | No | 0.985 | 48 | $47.69 |
| 13:14:59 | SELL | Yes | 0.013 | 6 | $0.08 |
| 12:40:21 | BUY | No | 0.98825875 | 8 | $7.91 |
| 00:53:12 | SELL | No | 0.993 | 193 | $191.19 |
| 18:46:52 | SELL | Yes | 0.006 | 2 | $0.01 |
| 21:59:37 | SELL | No | 0.993 | 12 | $12.25 |
| 18:09:25 | SELL | No | 0.993 | 274 | $271.94 |