PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.014. Range 0.010 to 0.016. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0164141
0.0173879
0.018685
0.02020105
0.02116121
0.0228129
0.02420149
0.02520169
0.033243412
0.03416428
0.03860488
0.03930518

Spread0.009Mid0.011

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0072424
0.0062650
0.00585135
0.003191326
0.0028401,166
0.0019,60010,766

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9932424
0.9942650
0.99585135
0.997191326
0.9988401,166
0.9999,60010,766

Spread0.009Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9844141
0.9833879
0.982685
0.98020105
0.97916121
0.9788129
0.97620149
0.97520169
0.967243412
0.96616428
0.96260488
0.96130518

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xd163…d100Yes1,689.46
0xd357FCC58c4fd0956625EbF78522503f0cf2CD28-1775918060367Yes520.91
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes243.37
striveboyYes137.41
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338Yes124.87
AJSVYes102.51
TerminatraderYes86.2
NorthLuopanYes85
cry.eth2Yes74.16
0xAc8fcd246ffBD0b44a4B674A761EbCB3DA243BC4-1765080785633Yes63.38
2B9SYes62.89
jennylulu2016Yes62
dumperYes60
0x56a8…eea2Yes58.98
wrongandstupidYes53.2
whalesYes50.2
planktonXDYes50.05
LornaPredictsYes47.42
cilouter2Yes46.14
BikesarethebestYes46.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:40:33BUYNo0.99310$9.93
03:00:50BUYNo0.99210$9.92
03:00:50BUYNo0.99220$19.84
03:00:50BUYNo0.99130610$9.91
02:59:15BUYNo0.99110$9.91
22:51:12BUYNo0.9915$4.96
04:15:02BUYNo0.9925$4.96
23:15:15BUYNo0.992999999720$20.18
23:15:09BUYNo0.99310$9.93
18:58:40BUYNo0.988305108240$39.51
18:58:40BUYNo0.98636740$39.45
18:58:39BUYNo0.98699999896$6.34
03:12:51BUYNo0.9865$4.93
02:21:01BUYNo0.9866$6.36
02:20:51BUYNo0.9863$3.18
04:05:31BUYNo0.9855$4.92
07:13:49BUYYes0.02463$1.52
07:07:26BUYNo0.98340$39.32
07:07:17BUYNo0.98340$39.32
09:50:41BUYNo0.9839$8.85
03:47:04SELLYes0.01611$0.17
23:41:49SELLYes0.01620$0.32
23:37:43SELLYes0.01610$0.15
14:52:46SELLYes0.01526$0.39
09:05:59SELLYes0.01620$0.32