PolyBot

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Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.003 to 0.011. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0033030
0.016110140
0.019100240
0.02016256
0.030290546
0.03146592
0.03243635
0.03313648
0.03486734
0.117124858
0.1635863
0.26710873

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002782782
0.0013,8444,626

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998782782
0.9993,8444,626

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9973030
0.984110140
0.981100240
0.98016256
0.970290546
0.96946592
0.96843635
0.96713648
0.96686734
0.883124858
0.8375863
0.73310873

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xd163…d100Yes1,689.46
LornaPredictsYes905.68
0xd357FCC58c4fd0956625EbF78522503f0cf2CD28-1775918060367Yes520.91
49ddgfdYes329.44
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes289.67
striveboyYes137.41
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338Yes124.87
xihongYes114.03
crossFiterYes110
AJSVYes102.51
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.Yes100
xiaodouziYes100
TerminatraderYes86.2
NorthLuopanYes85
hdjdjdjhshhYes75
cry.eth2Yes74.16
liq2Yes70
0xAc8fcd246ffBD0b44a4B674A761EbCB3DA243BC4-1765080785633Yes63.38
2B9SYes62.89
jennylulu2016Yes62

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:18:12BUYNo0.9985$4.99
17:18:49SELLYes0.0021$0.00
14:55:06SELLYes0.0021$0.00
14:53:09SELLYes0.0020$0.00
14:51:34SELLYes0.0028$0.02
22:08:37SELLYes0.0025$0.01
01:14:49BUYYes0.015814285770$1.11
07:13:55BUYYes0.0135$0.07
07:13:46BUYYes0.0135$0.07
08:27:30BUYNo0.996554470685$84.71
08:27:30BUYNo0.99733$32.65
08:27:28BUYNo0.9975$4.99
21:51:48BUYNo0.995589250$49.78
21:51:48BUYNo0.993443529485$84.44
21:51:48BUYNo0.994134$133.23
17:32:12SELLYes0.00230$0.06
08:14:39BUYNo0.99440258$7.96
08:14:37BUYNo0.992460978780$79.10
08:14:36BUYNo0.99212$11.73
08:14:36BUYNo0.99215$14.88
08:14:36BUYNo0.99220$19.84
18:15:42BUYNo0.98910$9.89
18:15:42BUYNo0.98914$13.85
18:15:42BUYNo0.9897$7.21
16:51:22BUYNo0.99520$19.95