Terminatrader
0xa8de76ef9943062b8a02582d140cdaa8ff0d5976
- Realised P&L
- $-5.89
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $35.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $15.16 | −$2.21 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $13.33 | +$0.03 |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.160 | 0.490 | $3.43 | +$2.31 |
| Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.045 | $1.51 | −$1.18 |
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.011 | $0.99 | −$1.05 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.013 | $0.69 | +$0.38 |
| Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.394 | $0.48 | +$0.10 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.054 | $0.23 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.98at 0.080Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
- +$7.50at 0.230Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$4.27at 0.285Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.81at 0.031Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
- +$2.92at 0.023Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (January 18)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 11:45 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 16:13 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 04-08 15:01 | Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | BUY | 0.999000001 | $2.00 |
| 03-10 05:21 | Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.04 |
| 03-09 09:42 | Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $32,000 (HIGH) in December? | BUY | 0.0844673152 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 02:51 | Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.0215897732 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 14:55 | Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.41 |
| 01-28 15:13 | Will Apple dip to $232 in January? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 12:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7000 (HIGH) in January? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.55 |
| 01-28 04:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in January? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.46 |
| 01-27 11:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 01-25 14:01 | Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.59 |
| 01-22 13:19 | Will Google dip to $290 in January? | SELL | 0.0230398667 | $3.46 |
| 01-18 08:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.05 |