PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Terminatrader

0xa8de76ef9943062b8a02582d140cdaa8ff0d5976

Realised P&L
$-5.89
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$35.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0040.004$15.16$2.21
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0040.004$13.33+$0.03
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1600.490$3.43+$2.31
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$1.51$1.18
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0240.011$0.99$1.05
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.0060.013$0.69+$0.38
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3110.394$0.48+$0.10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? · Yes0.0500.054$0.23+$0.02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? · No0.0030.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-23 11:45Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?BUY0.003$1.00
04-30 16:13US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.999$29.97
04-08 15:01Will Iran strike UAE again in March?BUY0.999000001$2.00
03-10 05:21Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.026$1.04
03-09 09:42Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $32,000 (HIGH) in December?BUY0.0844673152$1.00
03-05 02:51Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.0215897732$1.00
02-01 14:55Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.032$0.41
01-28 15:13Will Apple dip to $232 in January?SELL0.043$1.00
01-28 12:04Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7000 (HIGH) in January?SELL0.022$0.55
01-28 04:15Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in January?SELL0.42$1.46
01-27 11:35Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?BUY0.08$2.40
01-25 14:01Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.039$0.59
01-22 13:19Will Google dip to $290 in January?SELL0.0230398667$3.46
01-18 08:46Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?SELL0.07$1.05