0xd357FCC58c4fd0956625EbF78522503f0cf2CD28-1775918060367
0xd357fcc58c4fd0956625ebf78522503f0cf2cd28
- Realised P&L
- $-273.93
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $51.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.120 | $48.00 | −$46.00 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.004 | $1.75 | −$8.25 |
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.003 | $1.30 | −$7.64 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Tesla reach $458 in April? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.32 |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.05 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.72 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.81at 0.441Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$12.67at 0.583Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$2.70at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$2.30at 0.080Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?
- +$-5.46at 0.009Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 14:03 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $6.50 |
| 04-27 21:59 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $84.00 |
| 04-27 02:43 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | SELL | 0.0060162405 | $10.46 |
| 04-20 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $2.81 |
| 04-20 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2831 | $12.69 |
| 04-20 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $2.98 |
| 04-20 14:17 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.08 |
| 04-18 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 04-18 20:02 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $11.70 |
| 04-17 18:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $9.01 |
| 04-17 18:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $4.29 |
| 04-17 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $14.93 |
| 04-17 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $8.80 |
| 04-17 18:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $19.22 |
| 04-17 18:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $8.86 |