PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xihong

0x9f13dcf6c113aafbaf9b5951df98fa79a74eb84a

Realised P&L
$188.66
Volume
$48.7k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$1.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0070.004$0.51−$0.30
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0750.002$0.45−$22.05
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.1100.027$0.27−$0.83
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.050$0.25−$0.65
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$0.04−$0.04
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$0.04−$0.49
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$0.03−$0.23
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$0.01−$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 14:41Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.408$10.20
06-12 05:08Will Erling Haaland score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.38$8.36
05-30 15:48Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
05-25 14:41Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.083$4.15
05-25 14:40Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.091$4.55
05-17 15:16Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?SELL0.003$1.50
05-17 14:51Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?SELL0.006$4.83
05-17 12:45Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?BUY0.016$3.29
05-17 12:21Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?SELL0.005$1.01
05-17 06:07Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?BUY0.018$1.80
05-17 05:58Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?BUY0.012$1.21
05-16 15:42Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.004$0.20
05-16 15:42Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.004$0.40
05-16 15:41Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.005$1.00
05-16 15:41Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.01$2.00