xihong
0x9f13dcf6c113aafbaf9b5951df98fa79a74eb84a
- Realised P&L
- $188.66
- Volume
- $48.7k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $1.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $0.51 | −$0.30 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.002 | $0.45 | −$22.05 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.027 | $0.27 | −$0.83 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.050 | $0.25 | −$0.65 |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.04 | −$0.04 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$0.49 |
| Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$0.23 |
| Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.96at 0.270Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?
- +$56.74at 0.568Will the Netherlands win?
- +$26.48at 0.369Will Erling Haaland score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.35at 0.689Will England win?
- +$22.40at 0.680Will Croatia win?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 14:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.408 | $10.20 |
| 06-12 05:08 | Will Erling Haaland score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.38 | $8.36 |
| 05-30 15:48 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 14:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.083 | $4.15 |
| 05-25 14:40 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.091 | $4.55 |
| 05-17 15:16 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 05-17 14:51 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | SELL | 0.006 | $4.83 |
| 05-17 12:45 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.29 |
| 05-17 12:21 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.01 |
| 05-17 06:07 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 05-17 05:58 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.21 |
| 05-16 15:42 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 05-16 15:42 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 05-16 15:41 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 15:41 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.00 |