0xAc8fcd246ffBD0b44a4B674A761EbCB3DA243BC4-1765080785633
0xac8fcd246ffbd0b44a4b674a761ebcb3da243bc4
- Realised P&L
- $-77.45
- Volume
- $41.9k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $129.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.11at 0.009USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$41.37at 0.019USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$14.52at 0.018Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$8.94at 0.017Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?
- +$6.50at 0.320LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 22:14 | Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.75 |
| 07-28 13:59 | Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 07-27 18:37 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.10 |
| 07-20 17:05 | Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.068 | $2.04 |
| 07-20 17:05 | Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.069 | $0.75 |
| 07-20 14:28 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.014 | $2.23 |
| 07-20 06:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.16 |
| 07-19 11:33 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.08 |
| 07-19 03:49 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.63 |
| 07-16 11:36 | Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.74 |
| 07-11 10:54 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 09:45 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 07-11 07:13 | Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.52 |
| 07-10 13:19 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.11 |
| 07-08 12:02 | Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.18 |