PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAc8fcd246ffBD0b44a4B674A761EbCB3DA243BC4-1765080785633

0xac8fcd246ffbd0b44a4b674a761ebcb3da243bc4

Realised P&L
$-77.45
Volume
$41.9k
Markets traded
247
Open portfolio
$129.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded247
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.962$9.62+$1.42
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0370.116$6.24+$4.24
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.024$4.25+$2.26
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · Yes0.0170.024$4.14+$1.14
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0150.021$4.10+$1.10
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.031$3.93+$1.43
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0180.065$3.88+$2.81
Anthropic acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0190.030$3.31+$1.25
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? · Yes0.0210.040$3.09+$1.47
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.025$2.98+$0.99
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0390.054$2.78+$0.79
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0130.030$2.71+$1.56
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.018$2.68+$0.69
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes0.0060.008$2.66+$0.67
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0210.018$2.63$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 22:14Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?SELL0.005$0.75
07-28 13:59Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.014$1.40
07-27 18:37Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?BUY0.016$0.10
07-20 17:05Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.068$2.04
07-20 17:05Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.069$0.75
07-20 14:28Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.014$2.23
07-20 06:14Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?BUY0.016$0.16
07-19 11:33Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.018$1.08
07-19 03:49Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?BUY0.021$0.63
07-16 11:36Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.013$1.74
07-11 10:54LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsSELL0.5$5.00
07-11 09:45LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.21$2.10
07-11 07:13Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.024$1.52
07-10 13:19Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?BUY0.016$0.11
07-08 12:02Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.015$0.18