0xd16332376fb97c5b17bbe1aa9145092bfc42d100
- Realised P&L
- $-404.03
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $4.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.003 | $4.22 | −$179.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.24at 0.222Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$13.63at 0.008SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?
- +$11.96at 0.628Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$11.76at 0.063Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
- +$5.38at 0.021Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 03:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 03:57 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.066 | $0.73 |
| 06-11 08:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.0110000001 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 08:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.169 | $2.01 |
| 06-10 23:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.0110000001 | $2.00 |
| 06-10 11:56 | Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.0705510572 | $10.46 |
| 06-10 11:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 11:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 11:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 10:33 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.376 | $1.74 |
| 06-07 02:21 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.21599986 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 02:21 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.63 |
| 06-07 02:20 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.38 |
| 06-05 14:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 03:17 | Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.1330428564 | $20.00 |