PolyBot

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Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.035. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.033. Range 0.029 to 0.038. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0416565
0.042525590
0.04350640
0.04450690
0.0462,1622,852
0.0474503,302
0.0482103,512
0.0518214,334
0.054864,420
0.0555004,920
0.056504,970
0.0612135,183

Spread0.011Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.030292292
0.0297941,086
0.028501,136
0.0276171,753
0.026501,803
0.0246592,462
0.0235953,057
0.0212393,296
0.0209424,238
0.015504,288
0.0102204,508
0.009324,540

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.970292292
0.9717941,086
0.972501,136
0.9736171,753
0.974501,803
0.9766592,462
0.9775953,057
0.9792393,296
0.9809424,238
0.985504,288
0.9902204,508
0.991324,540

Spread0.011Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9596565
0.958525590
0.95750640
0.95650690
0.9542,1622,852
0.9534503,302
0.9522103,512
0.9498214,334
0.946864,420
0.9455004,920
0.944504,970
0.9392135,183

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Yes619
Dr.PNLYes500.01
AMAM13Yes244.67
planktonXDYes227.74
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes140
Numitus1994Yes51.27
AJSVYes36.95
PPMTYes27.97
tweetmasterYes25
nigletteYes15.03
0x6b0e…e3eaYes14.8
pppnnYes1.53
cocococococoNo1,367.5
dontshowmynameNo200
asdasdasdasdasdasdasdNo91
shiifooNo65.03
oliman2No52
1234abNo50
LornaPredictsNo30.2
GUINESS123No22

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:03:58BUYYes0.02810$0.28
04:03:39BUYNo0.9689999945$4.65
00:07:48SELLNo0.9660$0.40
10:14:22SELLYes0.03240$1.28
10:02:28BUYYes0.03340$1.32
14:59:57SELLNo0.96728$27.53
07:33:12SELLYes0.0340$1.20
07:33:09SELLYes0.03150$1.55
05:07:16SELLNo0.96228$27.39
05:07:13SELLNo0.9632882540$38.53
05:03:36BUYYes0.0350$1.50
05:03:36BUYYes0.03140$1.24
23:53:21SELLNo0.97138$37.35
10:47:15SELLNo0.96510$9.65
06:27:51SELLNo0.97138$37.36
06:27:45SELLNo0.97110$9.71
06:27:43BUYYes0.028960779540$1.16
06:27:43SELLNo0.97284$81.64
17:53:00SELLNo0.97220$19.44
18:18:58SELLYes0.02750$1.35
09:42:43SELLYes0.02750$1.35
09:29:15SELLYes0.02767$1.81
20:57:09SELLYes0.028100$2.80
20:45:22SELLYes0.02750$1.35
20:37:22SELLYes0.027450$1.37